Polls show that he has come out of the ropes and is once again the favorite for next year’s election. This was achieved by two factors. The government imposed a positive agenda with the income tax exemption for the ground floor.
The second factor was the Trumpist delirium of the opposition, with the spectacular activity of the crowd parading a gigantic United States flag on Avenida Paulista on September 7th.
Trump and his tariffs do not produce a single job in Brazil. By associating with him, Bolsonaro supporters like the governor crossed the street to slip on the banana peel on the other sidewalk.
The Brazilian left was known for its ability to divide. Lula became its unifying factor. The passion for divisions has migrated to the right. Tarcisio, Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema don’t understand each other and nobody knows why. If that were not enough, the deputy acts like a separate guerrilla.
The right is under the illusion that in 2026 the conditions of 2018 will be repeated, when the electoral map underwent a conservative tide. In 2018, Lula was in jail, the PT was in prison, brought down by the robberies admittedly committed by bureaucrats and businessmen caught by Lava Jato. Today Judge Sergio Moro is an ectoplasmic senator who roams the halls of Congress. Whoever is under house arrest is .
At first glance, divided, the right is not going anywhere. At second glance, Bolsonarism, if it was an aggregator in 2018, is today a disruptor, a kind of backstop.
Hollow rhetoric
At the beginning of 2023, Lula reported:
“Be assured that we will put an end, once again, to the shameful INSS queue, another injustice reestablished in these times of destruction.”
The end of 2025 arrived, the queue reached 2.6 million victims and the program to end it ended.
Scale 5/2
Lula, the PT and the Minister of Labor will perform all the choreography to support the project of a new working day, with two days of rest.
And that’s it.
Exaggeration in shielding
The government bench in the INSS CPI exaggerated in providing services to Planalto when it overturned by 19 votes against 11 the call of José Ferreira da Silva, Frei Chico, Lula’s brother and vice-president of Sindnapi (National Union of Retirees, Pensioners and Elderly), one of the entities investigated by the commission.
At 83 years old, Frei Chico is a veteran trade unionist. He was the one who took Lula to the labor movement. It didn’t need the armor that could turn it into glass during the coming year.
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