Genial/Quaest: Government slows down popularity recovery – 11/12/2025 – Power

New round of the Genial/Quaest survey released this Wednesday (12), shows that 31% of Brazilians evaluate the government (PT) as positive, while 38% consider it negative. Another 28% classify the management as regular, and 3% were unable to respond.

The fluctuations are within the margin of error of two percentage points, but they numerically inverted the curve in relation to October, when the PT member had registered a 33% positive evaluation and 37% negative. The difference between the two indicators, which was tied at the maximum limit of the margin, has now returned to 7 percentage points.

2,004 face-to-face interviews were carried out between November 6th and 9th, in 120 municipalities, distributed across all regions of the country.

Personal approval of the president’s work is 47%, and disapproval is 50% — a difference that constitutes a technical tie. In October, 48% approved and 49% disapproved.

Approval continues to be better in the Northeast (59%), among those who have completed primary education (55%) and among those who earn up to two minimum wages (54%). Disapproval is highest among evangelicals (58%).

The survey shows that 49% of those interviewed believe that Lula is not well-intentioned, while 44% say the opposite. Regarding the fulfillment of campaign promises, 63% say that the president has not been able to fulfill them, and 32% believe that he has.

For 46% of Brazilians, news about the government has been more negative. Another 29% say they notice more positive news, and 22% say they have not seen news about management.

The numbers were released in the wake of repercussions after the police operation that left 121 dead in . The topic of public security has gained centrality in recent weeks and has come to dominate the political debate. Faced with the repercussions, the federal government and PT allies, historically associated with the right.

One of the statements that had the most impact was that “drug dealers are also victims of users”, made by Lula. After the negative reaction, the president recanted in a publication on X, saying he had made “a poorly placed sentence”.

According to the survey, 81% of Brazilians disagree with the statement that drug dealers are victims of users, while 14% agree. For 51%, the phrase represented Lula’s sincere opinion; 39% believe it was a misunderstanding.

The PT member later classified the operation as “disastrous”. 57% disagree with Lula on this point, while 38% agree.

Regarding the union of right-wing governors who announced a consortium to combat organized crime after the operation in Rio, 47% of those interviewed see a political action. Another 46% believe it can effectively help reduce violence. Research shows that 3% see both.

Among the members of the group, the governor (-RJ) is named by 24% as the one who has done best so far. Next come (Republicanos-SP), with 13%; (-GO), with 11%; (Novo-MG), with 5%; (PL-SC), with 3%; Celina Leão (PP-DF) and Eduardo Riedel (PP-MS), both with 2%. Another 9% said that none of them stood out, and 31% did not know how to answer.

67% of participants say they approve of the operation, compared to 25% who disapprove of it. Another 67% think that the police did not exaggerate the use of force used, compared to 29% who think they did. 55% would not like a similar action to happen in their state, compared to 42% who would like it.

The Genial/Quaest survey interviewed 2,004 people in 120 municipalities between November 6 and 9, 2025. The margin of error is 2 percentage points, plus or minus.

Margins by group (in percentage points):

  • Education: up to primary education (4), completed secondary education (3), completed higher education (4)
  • Income: up to 2 minimum wages (4), from 2 to 5 (3), more than 5 (4)
  • Religion: Catholics (3), evangelicals (4)
  • Region: Southeast (3), Northeast (4), South (6), Midwest/North (5)

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