Marina and Tebet lead the Senate race in São Paulo

Former ministers appear in the lead in the 3 scenarios tested by Paraná Pesquisas; Guilherme Derrite appears in 3rd place

Survey of released this Thursday (April 16, 2026) shows that the former ministers (Network) and (PSB) lead the race for the Senate in São Paulo. The study tested 3 different scenarios. Read the (PDF – 630 kB).

The deputy and former Secretary of Public Security of the State, (PP), appears behind Marina and Tebet in the 3 scenarios.

Here are the results:

Paraná Pesquisas interviewed 1,600 people in 80 municipalities in São Paulo from April 11 to 14, 2026. The margin of error is 2.5 percentage points, plus or minus. The confidence level of the survey is 95%. It is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under number SP-00378/2026. The study cost R$50,000. It was paid for with its own resources.

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