Paraná Pesquisas: Marina Silva leads the Senate race in SP in all scenarios

Former minister records between 37.4% and 37.8% in all simulations; Simone Tebet and Guilherme Derrite appear in the sequel

Filipe Araujo/ MinC
Paraná Pesquisas: Marina Silva leads the Senate race in SP in all scenarios

Former Minister of the Environment Marina Silva (Rede) leads the race for the Senate in São Paulo in all scenarios tested by the Paraná Research Institute, released this Thursday (16).

No first scenario, Marina Silva appears with 37,8%followed by Simone Tebet (MDB) com 32,9% e Guilherme Melts (PL) com 27,4%.

Paraná Research points out that Marina Silva leads all scenarios for a seat in the Senate for SP

Paraná Research points out that Marina Silva leads all scenarios for a seat in the Senate for SP

In a second scenario – with the presence of Mário Frias -, the numbers remain practically the same: Marina Silva has 37,7%Simone Tebet 32,3% and Guilherme Derrite 26,8%.

Paraná Research points out that Marina Silva leads all scenarios for a seat in the Senate for SP

Paraná Research points out that Marina Silva leads all scenarios for a seat in the Senate for SP

Already in one third scenario – with the presence of Colonel Mello Araujo -, Marina Silva records 37,4%Simone Tebet 32,6% and Guilherme Derrite 26,7%.

Paraná Research points out that Marina Silva leads all scenarios for a seat in the Senate for SP

Paraná Research points out that Marina Silva leads all scenarios for a seat in the Senate for SP

Methodology

The survey was carried out between April 11th and 14th with 1,600 voters in 80 municipalities. The confidence level is 95% and the margin of error is 2.5 percentage points. The research is registered with the TSE under number SP-00378/2026.

source