that the PP faces with all the polls in favor. That is why they are uneasy: in the game they have experience of how overconfidence has caused them to lose victories that they took for granted. “We have already experienced several bad times,” acknowledges a senior and veteran leader of the Andalusian PP. The president of the Board and candidate for re-election, Juan Manuel Moreno, wanted to directly alert his people this morning at the rally he held in Cádiz, recalling the cases of 2012, in Andalusia, when Javier Arenas cherished the long-awaited change of political cycle and was left at the door and, more recently, in Spain, that of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, in July 2023, where no poll predicted he would not add to reach La Moncloa. “It has happened many times and it can happen again, because there is an excess of confidence. Let’s not underestimate our adversaries, let’s not trust ourselves, let no one stay on the beach, there is nothing won, nothing achieved,” said the Andalusian leader.
The sensations, in terms of return in the streets, however, this leader acknowledges, are better than four years ago, when it did not begin to be confirmed that an absolute majority could be possible until the last days of the campaign. . “That majority is not reached, I say it as I see the trackings [sondeos continuos que miden la evolución del sentimiento del voto]“Moreno stressed.
These studies, which his campaign team reviews every night, warn them that they are facing four deputies, the very ones who, if they were to lose them, would leave them on the verge of the absolute majority, which is at 55 seats (the PP now has 58). In the party they calculate that with 15,000 and 20,000 votes (which is more or less worth one parliamentarian), they would be able to govern alone and they understand that this niche is among the undecided, who in Andalusia range between 15% and 25%.
These days Moreno has begun to address them. those dissatisfied socialists who could now stay home due to discomfort over the health situation. This Wednesday he also called on them directly: “To those who have lost faith in politics, I ask you to vote,” said the president of the Board from the Casa de Iberoamérica, in the capital of Cadiz.
For his team, however, the best survey is tested on the street. Hugs and selfies with passersby are worth more than a good showing in the polls. The thermometer this Wednesday has been a new popular festival: the Jerez de la Frontera Fair, where he has not stopped receiving kisses and hugs from the attendees. and they are lasbecause today is Women’s Day, when they decide to go to the fair in groups of friends. “You can continue eating him with kisses,” said the mayor of Jerez, María José García Pelayo, to those attending one of the booths where the president of the Board has been, literally, besieged.
Cádiz is one of the constituencies where the vote is most distributed. The popular ones, who hold eight of the 15 deputies distributed in that province, are fighting to retain the last of them. If it falls, the balance could tip towards PSOE, Vox or Adelante Andalucía, according to the latest published polls. “Help me so that we do not truncate this social majority in the province of Cádiz by a handful of votes,” Moreno told his people in the capital of Cádiz.
This is the only stop in the Cádiz province of the popular leader, after he decided to suspend his visit to Arcos, scheduled for last Friday, due to the death of the two civil guards while they were chasing a drug boat in Huelva.
