Vox Brasil: Lula leads dispute against Flávio Bolsonaro in the 1st and 2nd round

In a possible 2nd round, the survey shows the president with 46.8% of voting intentions, while the senator appears with 38.1%

PR and Senado Agency
In the simulated simulation for the first round, Lula leads with 41.5% of voting intentions. Flávio Bolsonaro appears in second place, with 32.1%.

The search Vox Brazil released this Wednesday (20) shows the President Lula leads voting intentions in both the first and second rounds of the 2026 presidential race against senator Flávio Bolsonaro.

No scenario 1 stimulated second round, Lula appears with 46.8% of voting intentionswhile Flávio Bolsonaro totals 38.1%.

Others 8,7% of those interviewed stated that they intended to vote for blank, null or none of the candidates. Already 6,4% they said did not know or preferred not to give an opinion.

Scenario 2

Vox Brazil

Vox Brazil.

Scenario 3

Vox Brazil

Vox Brazil.

First round

In the simulated simulation for the first round, Lula leads with 41.5% of voting intentions. Flavio Bolsonaro appears in second place, with 32,1%.

Following are:

Ronaldo Caiado — 5.9%
Romeu Low – 4.1%
Renan Santos — 1.5%
Augusto Cury — 0.3%
Cabo Daciolo — 0.2%
Aldo Rebelo — 0.1%

Furthermore, 4.9% said they voted blank, null or for none of the names presented, while 9.4% did not know or did not respond.

Methodology

The survey was registered with the Superior Electoral Court under number BR-02416/2026.

The survey was carried out between May 17th and 19th, 2026, with 2,100 interviews. The margin of error is 2.15 percentage points, plus or minus, with a 95% confidence level.

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