Former Judge appears ahead in all the stimulated scenarios, but Ratinho Jr. (PSD) is the most quoted in spontaneous
A survey by Paraná Research shows that the Senator (União-PR) leads the dispute to the State Government in 2026. He wins all opponents in stimulated scenarios, including the possibilities of 2nd round.
Nevertheless, in the spontaneous poll – when the names of the candidates are not presented – the current governor (PSD) is the most cited, with 10.6% of the mentions. I live, in this clipping, is 1.6%. 75.9% do not know or did not opine.
In all simulations stimulated with his presence, Moro appears in front of the opponents. The names include (PSDB), Requião Filho (PT), Alexandre Curi (PSD), (PSD) and Guto Silva (PSD).
In the 1st scenario analyzed, Moro leads with 43.9% of voting intentions. Requião has 18.1%, followed by Richa (17.9%). Guto Silva appears with 3.9% and (PT) with 2.6%. White, null and undecided total 13.6%.
In a 2nd scenario, without Moro, Beto Richa takes the lead with 22.6%, followed by Requião (20.8%) and Alexandre Curi (18.3%). Silva and Verri mark 5.5% and 3.2%, respectively. The undecided add up to 7.9% and the white/null, 21.7%.
When Rafael Greca enters the dispute, Moro still leads (39.5%), against 17.4% of the mayor of Curitiba. Requião has 14.8%, Beto Richa, 14.6%and Verri, 2.3%.
In the 2nd round scenarios, Moro wins all the opponents tested:
- Against Alexandre Curi, Moro has 58.1% against 24%;
- Against Beto Richa, 55.1% to 28.7%;
- Contra Guto Silva, 63.8% to 17.1%;
- Against Rafael Greca, 54.3% to 33.8%.
Requião in the Senate
For the Senate, 86.3% of respondents said they did not know who to vote for. In this case, Ratinho Jr. also leads, cited by 2.7%. Moro appears with 1.1%, and (PL) by 0.8%.
Former governor Roberto Requião leads in the 1st scenario stimulated with 33.2%. GRAEML has 23.7% and (PL), 22.8%. (PP) and (PT) tie with 11.7%.
In the second scenario tested, Ratinho Jr. leads with wide advantage: 62.3%, followed by Requião (26.8%), Richa (25.2%), Barros (19.8%) and Lupion (8.9%).
Government approval
The study also tested the evaluation of voters for the management of the current governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD-PR). The stimulated survey showed that 80.5% approve, while 16.5% disapprove.
Read the evaluation of the government of Ratinho Júnior:
- Great – 28.4%;
- boa – 37,6%;
- regular – 22,5%;
- spacious – 4.8%;
- Poor – 5.9%;
- You don’t know/didn’t think – 0.8%..
Paraná research has in person heard state voters in May 2025. The margin of error is 2.5 percentage points, more or less, with a confidence level of 95%.
