These days, I’ve been remembering a joke from over 20 years ago, when he released the book “Ensaio sobre a Lucidez”. He was asked about the negative charge with which he looked at the air of time and he replied: “I’m not pessimistic.”
Just like in nature, social and political evolution is also made up of cycles, and it is not necessary to have above average lucidity to realize that the current moment is quite dark. After a period of enchantment, in which the perfect formula that combined peace, democracy, capitalism and a rules-based world order seemed to be found, it became clear that optimism was clearly exaggerated. The world is terrible.
Just like at the end of the 30s of the last century, today we are crossing a corner in History. Corners bring uncertainty ahead, they are crossroads, angular places where accidents happen.
In this corner, the main character is . It was he who, from 2015 onwards, left the traffic lights intermittent, disoriented traffic and made holes in the common ground.
Donald Trump doesn’t have a plan for the world — he has a plan for his belly button. His entire logic is pathologically narcissistic and transactional, it is based only on what is best for him, for his interests. Trump doesn’t want to make America great again, much less make the planet a better place — he wants to make himself great, because he’s nothing more than a child with sociopathic traits.
This week, we see this again, after the war, in which the leader was murdered. Prior observation: Khamenei does not deserve condescension, . But, after Trump ran an entire presidential campaign promising to end wars in the most geopolitically complex region on the globe, the Middle East.
This adds one more to the seven military interventions carried out in one year — Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela and Yemen. No previous president has served in so many different countries in such a short space of time. And it does this, once again, in which the Constitution requires the intervention of Congress, and the norms of public international law, after weakening the role of the UN and NATO.
Even more serious, it does so without a plan, which sadly resonates with the disastrous operation in Iraq in 2003: it creates a very dangerous vacuum and places the responsibility for finding a way out on the Iranians.
Just as in Venezuela, the concern was never with democracy, but only with oil, so now the motivation is not the nuclear threat: it is to aggrandize himself before his electorate (as in 2013, in fact, he accused Obama of wanting to do), when his popularity is weakened because of and on the eve of the mid-term elections.
From a strategic point of view, nothing makes sense: if a few weeks ago the “Donroe Doctrine” seemed announced, focusing on the sphere of influence of those on the American continent, today it is clear that their only strategy is chaos.
Donald Trump is a danger to the world. I can’t wait for us to turn that corner.
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