Datafolha: Lula has 46% rejection, and Flávio, 45% – 03/07/2026 – Politics

The president () has 46% rejection, and the senator (PL-RJ), 45%, technically tied in this regard, according to a Datafolha survey.

When voters are asked what they would not vote for at all in the first round, Lula and Flávio have the highest ratings among possible names to run for President.

After them, in order of rejection, come Fernando Haddad (27%), Ratinho Jr. (19%), Tarcísio de Freitas (18%), Romeu Zema (17%), Eduardo Leite (15%), Renan Santos (14%), Ronaldo Caiado (14%) and Aldo Rebelo (12%).

Datafolha interviewed 2,004 voters in 137 municipalities from Tuesday (3) to Thursday (5). With a margin of error of plus or minus two points, the survey is registered with the Electoral Court under code BR-03715/2026.

As for voting intentions, Lula leads in all first round scenarios, but the survey records an increase in Flávio’s candidacy and, in the second round, there is a technical tie between them.

In December, Datafolha showed that Lula was rejected by 44% and Flávio by 38%.

In recent days, the senator began polls to define his government’s economic team and its respective program. In relation to the Lula government, the biggest concern is to prevent e scandals.

Third in rejection rate, Haddad is only considered for the Planalto in the event of Lula’s absence, something unlikely — at 80 years old, the current president has already confirmed that he is a candidate for re-election. Therefore, the current Minister of Finance is mainly considered as a left-wing candidate for the Government of .

Right-wing governors have a lower level of rejection. Among those listed on , Ratinho Jr. (PR) has 19% in this regard, slightly more than (RS, 15%) and (GO, 14%).

This is a similar rate to that of the governors of São Paulo, (Republicans, 18%) and Minas, (Novo, 17%).

In January, he said that his interest is to run for re-election in São Paulo. Last month, the president of the PSD, brought together the three governors sheltered in his party and said he intended to organize a caravan with them in the state of São Paulo.

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