The senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) approaches the president Lula (PT) in the first round and technically draws with the PT member in the second round. That’s what it shows Datafolha search released this Saturday (7).
In the second round stimulated simulation, Lula register 46%ante 43% of Flavio Bolsonarowhich represents a technical draw. In December last year, the PT member registered 51% and Flavio, 36%.
The research, carried out in person, interviewed 2,004 people of 16 years or older em 137 municipalities across Brazil between the days March 3rd and 5th. The margin of error is two percentage pointsmore or less.
The research is registered with the Electoral Court under the protocol BR-03715/2026.
Lula appears ahead in all first and second round scenarios tested, but the advantage is decreasing. The research points out that in today’s most likely scenario for the first round, Lula tem 38% contra 32% of Flavio.
Ratinho Jr. (PSD) appears next with 7% and the governor of Minas Gerais, Romeu Zema (New)com 4%. Already Renan Santos (Mission, 3%) e Aldo Rebelo (DC, 2%). Reject all candidates 11%e 3% They say they don’t know who to vote for.
In a first round scenario where Tarcísio de Freitas replaces Flavio, Lula continue ahead with 39% while the governor of São Paulo scores with 21%. Ratinho Jr. appears next with 11%followed by Low (5%), Renan (3%) e Aldo (2%).
Datafolha tested the names of the three PSD candidates. The governor of Paraná, Ratinho Jr. (PSDB)is the best placed in the first round scenarios. Tested in a scenario with Lula e Flaviohe figures with 7%.
