A RealTime BigData survey shows that PT members have 59% of voting intentions in the 2 scenarios tested; Flávio Bolsonaro has 22% to 23%
A RealTime BigData survey released this Monday (March 30, 2026) shows the president (PT) ahead of the senator (PL) in 1st round simulations for the presidential election in Ceará.
A Real Time Big Data tested 2 different electoral dispute scenarios. In both, the PT member has 59% of voting intentions. Flávio Bolsonaro recorded 23% in the 1st scenario and 22% in the 2nd.
The survey included the governor of Goiás, (PSDB), who as a pre-candidate for the Presidency of the PSDB this Monday (30th March). The governor of Rio Grande do Sul, (PSD), appears in the survey, as he was considered to run for the party. However, after the PSD’s announcement this Monday, he should not run.
Real Time Big Data interviewed 1,600 voters from Ceará from March 27 to 28, 2026. The margin of error is 2 percentage points, plus or minus. The confidence level is 95%. It is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under protocol BR-06276/2026. According to the company, the study cost R$64,000 and was paid for with its own resources.
REJECTION
The study also asked respondents who they would not vote for. Flávio Bolsonaro leads the ranking, with 58% rejection. The current president appears next, with 37%.
LULA APPROVAL
President Lula’s work is approved by 64% of Ceará voters and disapproved by 34%.
SEARCH AGGREGATOR
O Poder360 offers those of Drive o , the oldest and most complete on the internet in Brazil. It brings together thousands of voting intention surveys from all companies since the year 2000. In election years, only studies that are registered with the Electoral Court and have a known complete methodology are published. Do you have any research to share? Email the full text to Poder360: .
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