His allies say that the next round of electoral polls will define the continuity of the senator’s presidential candidacy, shaken by the messages he exchanged with the banker.
were made before the case broke out. If there is a significant drop, the search for a replacement will be inevitable.
A strategist linked to the right predicts that Flávio will lose support among what he calls the “clean right”, the portion of the electorate that places the fight against corruption as the main reason for supporting Bolsonarism.
He calculates that this share accounts for 15% to 20% of the senator’s support, and could look for an alternative, such as Romeu Zema (Novo) or Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), or move to a null vote. As a result, Flávio could fall by 3 to 4 points in the next surveys.
If this is the scenario, the assessment is that the drop will not be fatal and that the senator’s candidacy should survive.
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