It’s gonna be rough! took a closer look at the acquaintance climate phenomenon El Niño and warned of its impact on the weather in Europeand not only this year, but also in the following year. According to the forecast, he should the phenomenon begins to significantly influence the weather in the period from July to September.
Meteorological models indicate that the upcoming climate phenomenon will have extraordinary strength. “The models mostly agree that the entire phase will be very significant,” pointed out the ČHMÚ. At the same time, experts add that even if the whole process starts already this year, its main impact will be felt a little later.
The wave of heat and drought will not pass our continent either. “The impact on the global climate will be fully felt only in 2027. In the Northern Hemisphere, and therefore also in Europe, we can expect a higher average temperature and lower precipitation totals, but the main manifestations will be observed in the South Pacific.” explained the institute.
According to meteorologists, El Niño will have a noticeable effect especially on average temperatures, which can reach record values. “As a result, it is very likely that the average global temperature in 2026 will be 1.4 – 1.5 °C higher compared to the reference period 1850 – 1900. For 2027, estimates agree on a global deviation of more than 1.5 °C,” emphasized the experts.
Temperature records and precipitation anomalies
Last summer was also hot in Slovakia, while the average air temperature reached 19.2 °C and according to the data, summer was classified as 12th warmest since 1931. The experts recalled that over the course of the months there was a significant alternation of extreme manifestations of the weather and its character.
June was a strongly above-normal to historically record month in terms of temperatureJuly and August then appeared as temperature normal in terms of long-term averages, although they also brought local extremes. The highest temperature of the entire summer was measured on July 3 in Slovenský Grob, where the mercury on the thermometer shot up to 38.7 °C.
Despite the fact that the total rainfall totals eventually reached mostly normal values, according to meteorologists, their annual regime was very atypical. The summer brought huge regional paradoxes and extremes.
As many as seven cases were recorded when the daily amount of precipitation at one station exceeded 100 mmwhich represents the third highest number of such downpours since 1981. Although the flood of precipitation in the second half of the summer soaked the west and mountainous areas, but parts of southern and eastern Slovakia struggled with a moisture deficit for much longer.
