Iranians and Americans have made significant progress in the last two weeks towards an agreement, according to Hussein Kalout, professor of International Relations at USP and researcher at Harvard. WW.
Kalout detailed the main points of tension in the negotiations, highlighting Lebanon’s central role as an obstacle to concluding the understanding.
According to the professor, this advance led the Iranians to travel to Doha to conclude a dialogue on the release of resources.
The Pakistanis, who act as mediators, were considered effective in this process.
The Lebanese knot in negotiations
The Iranians demand the agreement as a condition for the pacification of the conflict with the Americans.
According to Kalout, the United States would not object to this inclusion.
“The problem is Israel,” said the researcher. “Israel does not allow Lebanon to be included in the scope of the agreement, because for Israel this would be a defeat.”
The central issue, therefore, is that the Americans would need to separate Lebanon from the general agreement — something the Iranians refuse.
For Israel, keeping Lebanon out of the arrangement would represent, “in a sense, a salvation” for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who, according to Kalout, is trailing in Israeli election polls and faces pressure in the domestic political context.
Kalout also pointed out that, in recent days, there has been an increase in .
According to the researcher, this escalation has a clear objective: to pressure the Lebanese government into signing a peace agreement.
“By pressuring the Lebanese government into a peace agreement, it would have something to offer in the domestic political context,” Kalout explained, referring to .
