The former mayor of Recife João Campos (PSDB) appears in the lead in the dispute for the government of Pernambuco, according to a Real Time Big Data survey released this Thursday (11). The survey shows the toucan’s advantage over governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) in the first and second round scenarios.
In the first round simulation, João Campos recorded 45% of voting intentions, while Raquel Lyra had 40%. The difference of five percentage points puts the two in a tie at the limit of the margin of error, but keeps the former mayor numerically ahead.
The second round scenario also favors Campos. According to the survey, he reaches 46% of voting intentions against 41% for the current governor.
The survey indicates a concentrated dispute between the two main names in Pernambuco politics for 2026. João Campos ended his term at the head of Recife City Hall as one of the PSDB’s main electoral assets in the Northeast, while Raquel Lyra seeks re-election after assuming the state government in 2023.
Real Time Big Data interviewed 1,600 voters from Pernambuco on June 9 and 10, 2026. The margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points, with a confidence level of 95%. The research is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under number PE-09426/2026.
