In a critical turning point that could change the balance in , Washington and Tehran are now a breath away from reaching a peace agreement.
As the Prime Minister of Pakistan and mediator of the process, Shehbaz Sharif, said today, the two sides have agreed on the final framework, with the text already drawn up.
We are closer to a peace deal than ever before. With finalisation likely expected in the next 24 hours, Pakistan is preparing for the electronic signing of the peace deal immediately after, followed by technical level talks next week.
We would like to thank United States of…
— Shehbaz Sharif (@CMShehbaz)
Islamabad is preparing for a historic, digital “remote” signing within the next 24 hours, with technical-level talks set to begin next week.
This development comes to confirm those who in the last hours raised the chances of success to 80-85%.
This optimism was kept alive despite the serious combat episode that occurred a little earlier, when US Centcom forces shot down several Iranian attack drones targeting merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the temporary ignition, navigation now continues without a hitch.
The draft interim agreement foresees immediate de-escalation steps:
- 60-day ceasefire: Complete cessation of hostilities on all fronts, including Lebanon.
- Freedom of navigation: Iran will guarantee free passage through the Strait of Hormuz and the US will lift the naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Persian Gulf.
- Nuclear talks: Start of technical negotiations on Tehran’s nuclear program, with a time horizon of 60 days of the ceasefire.
Although the initial signature is expected electronically, the memorandum of understanding is planned to be finalized in person in Geneva. There, the heads of the delegations will be US Vice President Jay D. Vance (at the behest of Donald Trump) and the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, General Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.
The thorns
However, the truce does not yet mean permanent peace, .
These concern the future and control of Iran’s nuclear program, the management of its stockpile of enriched uranium, and the gradual release of Tehran’s “frozen” billions based on its compliance. At the same time, permanent security in the Straits of Hormuz and the limitation of Iranian support to organizations such as Hezbollah and Hamas are requested. Finally, Israel’s attitude remains decisive, with Benjamin Netanyahu making it clear that he will not accept any agreement that does not definitively eliminate Iran’s nuclear threat.
