Last week, (-SP) distanced itself from the government. In one of these rich events, he said that Lula is not a favorite in the next presidential election and is a weak minister.
It would be nothing much, it was not for two reasons.
First, Lula is about to offer the PSD, Kassab’s party, important ministries. We still don’t know which one, but it shouldn’t be a small thing. Lula’s hope is to use ministerial reform to close alliances to 2026. If Kassab is already closing with the other side, ministerial reform will start a little weird.
Secondly, Kassab has a reputation for a compass that always points to the winning side. If you drop Lula, it may be a sign of weakness of the petista.
Kassab may also be venturing into a game that never played.
Criste from the right of São Paulo, Kassab set up the PSD at a time when the government of the center wanted a center party more willing to talk. He only betrayed Dilma in the last days before the impeachment vote and has already left Temer Minister. He put people in the Bolsonaro government and the Lula administration. As Secretary of Government of Tarcisio, he managed to attract the PSD the network of municipal political machines that elected the PSDB for over 20 years. At the moment, your PSD is the largest party in Brazil.
Gilberto Kassab is undoubtedly extraordinarily skilled. But part of his reputation is originally from the kind of policy that Kassab has made his whole life: adhesism.
His party is in all presidencies because he never worried about electing president. The PSD followed in the footsteps of the PMDB, which left PT and PSDB to kill themselves in the presidential and then sold support to those who won. In Brazilian coalition presidentialism, it is one of the possible specializations.
The other is to elect the president. The rewards are greater in victory, but defeat means suffering in opposition, without access to funds or positions. This requires a certain deal of ideology.
Kassab has distanced himself from Lula because he dreams of being the “Kingmaker” that will make president of the Republic. If Kassab and his PSD take protagonism in the presidential election, they will have changed a specialty
Will you know how to do this? The PMDB, for example, has never succeeded.
Does the PSD be the party that will blame if prices rise? Like the rest of the center, his specialty to this day has been spending money and leaving the president to blame for the resulting price increase.
Tarcisio, as Caiado, has already stated that he is not satisfied with the billions and billions that, in the last ten years, have left control of the presidency and have been spent on parliamentary amendments. Obviously, he wants to have the power that Lula had in 2003, not what Lula has now.
Kassab bumps into this fight with your centermates?
And what does Kassab intend to do with Tarcisio’s scammers friends? He has made video saying that the PSD is an enemy as dangerous as the PT. The dream of the Bolsonaro family is to get Kassab out of the Tarcisio government.
Anyway, if Kassab and his class can change their specialty within Brazilian coalition presidentialism, they will have been the first to do so. If no one has done to this day, it should not be easy.
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