The war unleashed by the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, against Ukraine has already extended more than three years while they do not cease on the battlefield. However, in Researchers have now detected a “fundamental” change in the Russian foreign and security policy strategy.
“Specifically, Russia wants to limit the independence of Ukraine; secondly, she wants to overthrow the European security order and assume a more important role; and, thirdly, she wants to recover her global position in security policy. What has changed is the way in which Russia proceeds: It has become much more aggressive than before“Summarized the director of the Finnish Institute for Foreign Policy, Sinikukka Saari, as reported by the media .
This has spoken during a round table with other experts, such as the researcher at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Nigel Gould-Davies, who considered that It would have been easy for Russia to transmit to the West his historical links with Ukraine and his desire to proceed peacefully. But this did not happen: “It would have been very easy and Europe could have accepted it, but instead Russia has advanced very aggressively.”
“We face an unprecedented moment. It is mainly the aggressive intentions of Russia. We are probably heading towards a situation similar to that of the 1950s: an unstable situation where the old rules no longer apply, “Samuel Charap, a researcher at the Rand Studies Center, said.
The program director of the James Martin Center, Hanna Notte, highlighted the role of the United States and China. With the repeated air space violations by Russia in recent weeks, the expert considers that The Kremlin is testing both the NATO reaction and the US president’s reactionDonald Trump. “It can be a reaction to the fact that the fear of the Trump administration has hindered Putin’s desire to invoke the nuclear threat,” said Notte.
The analyst also pointed to China, which has adopted a position in which she has not condemned Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. This position, as stressed, gives other diplomatic spaces to do the same.
For his part, Gould-Davies also highlighted the importance of China. “If we assume that there will be a turn, which seems unlikely for now, in which China decides not to support Russia, that, in my opinion, would make Russia change tactics very quickly. I think Europe should try to speak specifically with the Chinese,” he said.
