António Cotrim / Lusa
Survey still puts admiral ahead, but far from the margin he once had. In a possible second round, the difference is also short for Seguro.
If the elections presidential If they were now, Henrique Gouveia e Melo would be the winner, according to the most recent poll published by .
The admiral continues to lead in voting intentions, but far from the wide margin he already had in relation to the other candidates.
Now, Gouveia e Melo convinces 26,9% of respondents, ahead of 20,3% of Luís Marques Mendes. In practice, they are technical draw – the difference of 6.6 points is within the usual margin of error for a poll.
Behind these apparent two favorites appears António José Segurocom 18,4% of voting intentions. Andre Ventura appears as the fourth classified, with 13,9%.
Below 10% appear João Cotrim de Figueiredo (9.1%), Rui Tavares (2.9%), António Filipe (2.5%) and Catarina Martins (1.9%).
Looking at a possible second round, Gouveia a Melo defeats Marques Mendes and Seguro – but again with an insignificant difference: 42%-37% against Marques Mendes and 44%-37% if it is against Seguro.
If Ventura goes through to the second round (unlikely in this survey), Gouveia e Melo would easily win, with 63% against just 15%.
In still other second round scenarios: Marques Mendes would beat António José Seguro (by just three points) and Ventura would lose against any of the three favorites.
Gouveia e Melo also leads in voting strength (57% admit to voting for him). At the rate of rejection is high for most candidates, especially for Joana Amaral Dias and Catarina Martins. Only Gouveia e Melo, Marques Mendes and Seguro “escaped” a high rejection rate.
