Post-recess, Chamber must unlock economic agenda and electoral issues by Carnival

The Chamber of Deputies resumes work this Monday (2) under time pressure and with an extensive agenda to resolve before the typical emptying of the election year. With just a few working weeks until Carnival, the strategy defined by the House command is to concentrate votes considered priorities for the government and party leaders, leaving more sensitive topics for the second half of the semester.

The work will begin with the analysis of provisional measures from the Executive. The MP for the Gás do Povo program and the analysis of the release of extraordinary credit for the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock are on the agenda. The choice signals that the government intends to use the beginning of the legislative year to unlock economic matters that were held back at the end of 2025.

Until Carnival, the House’s agenda was designed by the President of the Chamber, Hugo Motta, in line with the college of leaders. The main focus is on topics of direct interest to Planalto, with emphasis on the agreement between Mercosur and the European Union. If approved, the treaty will still have to face scrutiny from the Senate.

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Post-recess, Chamber must unlock economic agenda and electoral issues by Carnival

After Carnival, the scenario becomes more uncertain. The predominant reading is that the second semester will be marked by emptying, which leads the government and opposition to try to resolve pending issues in the first semester.

In this context, the Executive sees space to put topics of strong social appeal back into debate, such as the end of the 6×1 scale and the regulation of work via apps, themes that could gain weight in the 2026 electoral discourse.

The area of ​​public security, in turn, promises to concentrate new clashes. The Public Security PEC and the project known as the anti-faction PL, both prepared during the administration of minister Ricardo Lewandowski, were postponed this year after an agreement between leaders. The government assesses that the texts were “dehydrated” by Congress and is trying to reopen the discussion to recover points considered central, while the opposition prepares to intensify the confrontation.

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Another sensitive item returning to the agenda is the regulatory framework for artificial intelligence. The project remains in a special commission and attracts attention from the productive sector, which demands clear rules to reduce legal uncertainties and encourage investments, but faces disagreements about the limits of the State’s actions and the responsibilities of the platforms.

In the political field, the opposition intends to maintain pressure on the government by defending a broad amnesty for those involved in the acts of January 8 and with the attempt to install a CPI to investigate fraud related to Banco Master, an issue that is already mobilizing tougher speeches at the beginning of the legislative year.

In addition to disputes in plenary, the Chamber will also have to deal with its own internal conflicts. In the first week, the Ethics Council resumes hearings against deputies accused of obstructing the work of the House in protest against the house arrest of former president Jair Bolsonaro. Interviews with Marcos Pollon (PL-MS), Marcel van Hattem (Novo-RS) and Zé Trovão (PL-SC), as well as witnesses, are planned.

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