The president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) would win a possible second round against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)according to data from Genial/Quaest research, released this Wednesday (11).
This Wednesday’s survey simulated seven scenarios of the second election. The current president wins in all cases. Check out the results below:
Scenario 1
In a first frame, Lula achieve 43% contra 38% of Flavio. Whites, invalids or those who will not vote add up 17%. The undecided are 2%.
Scenario 2
In the second simulation, the chief executive appears with 43% and the governor of Paraná, Ratinho Junior (PSD)com 35%. They are 19% those who vote blank, null, or who will not vote. The undecided are 3%.
Scenario 3
In the third scenario, the PT the current governor of Goiás wins, Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)for a difference of ten points. Lula appears with 42% and Whitewashed with 32%. Whites, invalids or those who will not vote are 22%while the undecided number 4%.
Scenario 4
In the fourth frame, Lula the governor of Minas Gerais wins, Romeu Zema (New)with a difference of 11 points. The PT member scores 43% before 32% of the miner. Blank, null votes or those who will not vote are 21%. Undecideds add up 4%.
Scenario 5
In the dispute between Lula e Eduardo Leite (PSD)governor of Rio Grande do Sul, the northeaster reaches 42%while the gaucho scores 28%. They are 26% blank, invalid or non-voting votes. The undecided are 4%.
Scenario 6
In the sixth simulation, the current president wins the second round against the former minister Aldo Rebelo (DC)for a difference of 19 points. The PT member appears with 44%while Rebelo has 25%. Whites, null or who will not vote, add up 27%. The undecided number 4%.
Scenario 7
In a seventh and final scenario, Lula wins from the MBL coordinator, Renan Santos (Mission), also with a difference in 19 points. The agent marks 44% and Santos appears with 25%. Whites, null or who will not vote also add up 27%while the undecided are 4%.
Methodology
A Genial/Quaest research interviewed 2,004 votersbetween the days 5 e 9 of Februarythrough a face-to-face interview. The margin of error for the survey is 2 percentage pointsmore or less, with a confidence interval of 95%. The research was carried out with resources from the institute itself and is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under the protocol BR-00249/2026.
Check out the full survey below
