In a trajectory of prolonged “frictions” with their traditional allies and its countries, the , on the occasion of the developments in the field and the American-Israeli strategy against it. The American president does not seem to take kindly to the refusal of many governments to support his initiative for international control of navigation in the .
Europeans and Trump in the “trenches”
The constant refusals of European countries to “enter” the war, even within the framework of NATO, provoked Trump’s strong reaction. During a White House St. Patrick’s Day meeting with Irish Prime Minister Michal Martin, he made it clear that “we don’t need anybody’s help,” even leaving open the possibility of a review of US participation in the Alliance.
Trump appeared to be “pulling the ropes” with the Europeans, following refusals both from the EU, through the mouth of Kaia Kalas, and from leaders such as Emmanuel Macron, Keir Starmer and the German government.
At the same time, the American president appeared satisfied with the cooperation of the US with countries in the region around Iran. Shortly thereafter, the United Arab Emirates, through diplomatic adviser Anwar Gargas, said it was seriously considering participating in an international effort to secure the Straits of Hormuz.
Scenarios of military control of the Straits of Hormuz
Israeli publications, such as the Jerusalem Post, report that the US government is considering the use of military force to control the Straits and remove them from Tehran’s influence.
Such a possibility is estimated to significantly prolong the conflict, turning the timetable for its end – currently set at weeks according to Trump – into a matter of months.
Iran’s stance on Hormuz
Iran’s stance remains unchanged. Although Tehran allows the passage of ships from some countries, the speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Baker Kalibaf, made it clear that the status of the Straits “is not going to return to the pre-war level” as “there is no longer any security”.
The contacts between Iraq and Iran are part of the same framework, with the aim of allowing the passage of Iraqi tankers through the Straits.
Escalation of targeted attacks by Israel
At the same time, Israel appears to be expanding its attacks against specific figures in the Iranian leadership.
The strikes against Ali Larijani and General Golamreza Soleimani of the Basij paramilitary forces were carried out with the approval of the political leadership.
However, according to Israeli media, that is changing: Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz have reportedly ordered immediate targeting of Iranian leadership, without requiring political approval each time.
Humanitarian crisis in Lebanon?
The situation in Lebanon is of particular concern. Those displaced by Israel’s operations against Hezbollah have reached about one million, while the dead exceed 900.
