Number of corner kicks in the first half, shots on goal between the two teams or peace in Iran. The infinite world of betting touches everything and reaches any type of forecast. Eight anonymous people proved it in the best way, taking advantage of the changing geopolitical situation and the no less changing speech of Donald Trump.
Because far from betting on football, tennis or horse racing, eight accounts chose to gamble a good fortune on what would be a ceasefire in Iran through the Polymarket platform.
All of them were created around March 21as detailed The Guardian, y They deposited around $70,000 (just over 62,000 euros) that a ceasefire would be signed between the US and Iran before March 31; that is, before next Tuesday. To ‘make it’, could take an amount of up to $820,000 (more than 707,000 euros).
His movement came before, with the perennial threat to resume attacks if the ayatollah regime does not comply with what the magnate wants.
This in itself is not a ceasefire, but it brings it closer to signing, especially after Donald Trump openly communicated that I saw an agreement “very close” between the US and Iran, a point that Tehran does not confirm.
As has happened with other stock market or business movements immediately due to a possible intervention by the US president.
OK , the former CoinTelegraph researcher and current developer of an artificial intelligence trading platform called Starchild, Ben Yorkebelieves that the portfolios of those bets “without a doubt [parecen] from someone with privileged information.
This is a suspicion, because Polymarket accounts are anonymous and in them it is extremely difficult to trace owners of the cryptocurrency wallets that placed the bets. But York has two main hypotheses, as he clarifies:
“Typically, when you look at wallet splitting and deliberate attempts to conceal identity, it’s one of two scenarios: either a very important investor trying to protect its position from the impact of the market, or This is insider trading.”
Suspicions also reach the betting company itself. As the British media adds, among investors behind Polymarket one is found venture capital company owned by Donald Trump Jr.
