In a critical turning point for the geopolitical balance in , and a group of regional mediators are considering holding high-level peace talks with , possibly as soon as this week. According to sources cited by Axios and Israel’s Channel 12, Washington is waiting for Tehran’s definitive response, while the background is raging.
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Trump’s “15-point plan.”
President Trump appears determined to end the war, despite Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz complicating any exit strategy. The American side has already communicated to Israel a 15-point plan, even claiming that Tehran has accepted key terms. However, so far, there is no tangible evidence of such a convergence.
- Uranium stockpile delivery: Delivery of the entire stockpile of 450kg of 60% enriched uranium.
- Complete Enrichment Suspension: Immediate cessation of all uranium enrichment activities within Iranian territory.
- Zero enrichment goal: A long-term commitment to completely phase out enrichment infrastructure in the future.
- Enhanced UN inspections: Acceptance of a stricter and permanent monitoring regime by the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency).
- Access to military facilities: Commitment to free access for inspectors to any location deemed suspicious.
- Limiting Ballistic Missiles: Actively limiting the range and development of new missile system technologies.
- Stop production of drones: Stop the production and export of offensive unmanned aerial vehicles (drones).
- End support to proxies: Cut off all financial and military aid to Hezbollah, the Houthis, Hamas and other armed groups.
- Withdrawal from regional fronts: Gradual withdrawal of Iranian forces or controlled militias from Syria and Yemen.
- Guarantees in navigation: Commitment to the unhindered passage of ships through the Straits of Hormuz and cessation of hostile actions at sea.
- Prisoner Release: Immediate exchange and release of all US and foreign nationals held in Iranian prisons.
- Ceasing Cyber Attacks: Commitment to end aggressive cyber operations against the US and its allies.
- Respect for regional sovereignty: Recognizing and respecting the sovereignty of the Gulf States and the State of Israel.
- Gradual lifting of sanctions: In return, Washington offers the gradual easing of economic sanctions affecting Iran.
- Economic reintegration: Possibility of Iran’s return to the international banking system (SWIFT) and the global oil market under conditions.
Netanyahu’s mistrust
The Israeli leadership is watching the developments with obvious concern. Benjamin Netanyahu fears Trump may move forward with an “incomplete” deal that would include major concessions and limit Israel’s ability to strike Iranian targets. Israeli sources express serious doubts as to whether Tehran has actually offered the concessions proposed by Washington.
JUST IN 🇮🇷🇺🇸: While Trump Says Iran is Destroyed they Fire a New Wave of Missiles at Israel
Watch as this cluster missile sperates over Israeli Skies
— Ryan Rozbiani (@RyanRozbiani)
“There is a fear that Trump will make a deal, just to stop the war, leaving the critical issues for later without a final solution,” says an Israeli official.
Chaos in Tehran and the role of Pakistan
The situation inside Iran is described by US officials as chaotic. The uncertainty surrounding the status of the new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is creating a power vacuum and difficulty in making decisions.
🚨 HOLY SMOKES. President Trump just said Iran’s leaders sent him a “present” as part of proving who is really in control
The present, related to oil and gas, arrived today, worth a “tremendous amount of money”
“They gave us a present, and the present arrived today. It was a…
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh)
At the same time, Pakistan, acting as a communication channel along with Egypt and Turkey, said it was ready to host the summit. Trump sent his own message via Truth Social confirming his interest, and if talks are finalized, Vice President Jay D. Vance is expected to take a central role.
War Preparation: The 82nd Airborne Division
Despite diplomatic maneuvering, the US is preparing for the worst-case scenario. As it became known, the command of the 82nd Airborne Division was ordered to deploy to the Middle East, along with an infantry brigade of thousands of soldiers. The move leaves Washington open to possible ground operations if diplomacy fails.
Friday’s ultimatum
White House spokeswoman Caroline Levitt clarified that Operation Epic Fury continues unabated. Trump has suspended planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure, but only until Friday.
“The President wants to see if an agreement can be reached. If not, we will return to the bombings,” a White House official summarizes, giving the stamp of the policy of “negotiation under the state of fire” followed by the new American administration.