It must generate a favorable fiscal result for Brazil. This is what the Fiscal Monitoring Report that will be released this Thursday (16) by the Independent Fiscal Institution, linked to the Senate, points out.
The assessment made by the technicians is that, despite there being nothing to celebrate with the conflict, in practice, the war will bring profits to the country.
This is because the government has been collecting more from royalties. If the price of a barrel, at the same time, has provided resources to Brazil.
The entity recognizes that the environment is volatile and that there is no way to predict, not even the depth and duration of the effects of war. But, for now, the assessment is that there will be gains for Brazil from a fiscal point of view, both in 2026 and 2027.
“By reducing oil and cooking gas and postponing the collection of airline fees, the revenues derived from the crisis are greater than the expenses”, said the executive director of IFI, Marcus Pestana.
Even so, there is little caution. Technicians admit that there is no way to predict anything related to the president of the United States, and the real degree of commitment of the world economies is still unknown.
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