The senator () appears ahead in the race for Government of Minas Gerais, according to the Genial/Quaest survey released this Tuesday (28).
Close to Bolsonarism, Cleitinho says he has not yet decided on his candidacy. In the scenario that considers ten names in the dispute, he has 30% of voting intentions, and the former mayor of () appears in second, mentioned by 14% of those interviewed.
Kalil was the president’s candidate () in the 2022 state election, when () in the first round. This time, he is far from PT. (), which scores 8%, in this scenario, should be the name supported by PT members for Palácio Tiradentes.
In the survey, the governor (), who took office in March after Zema’s resignation, has 4%, the same percentage as Ben Mendes (Mission).
The former president of the Belo Horizonte City Council Gabriel Azevedo (MDB) and the former president of Fiemg Flávio Roscoe () each have 2%.
Other names presented to voters were Maria da Consolação (PSOL), cited by 3%, and Rafael Duda (PSTU) and Túlio Lopes (PCB), who did not score.
Null and blank votes total 20%. Undecided are 13%.
The Genial/Quaest survey was carried out among 1,482 voters in Minas Gerais through home interviews from April 22 to 26 and has a margin of error of three percentage points.
The confidence level is 95%. The research was registered under number MG-08646/2026.
Unlike Simões and Gabriel, the other main names in the survey have not yet declared themselves as pre-candidates for the Government.
This lack of definition is reflected in the Genial/Quaest survey, which questioned voters’ voting intentions considering four scenarios in the first round.
In three of them, Roscoe does not appear.
The former president of Fiemg could be launched by the PL to guarantee a platform in the state for the presidential candidacy of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), if other alliance opportunities for the party in Minas are frustrated.
In the scenario without Kalil and Roscoe’s candidacy, Cleitinho leads with 35%, followed by Pacheco (11%). Then appear Simões (5%), Ben Mendes (4%), Rocha (4%) and Gabriel (3%).
In the survey without Pacheco, the Republican senator scores 37%, and Kalil has 16%.
In the survey without Cleitinho’s name, Kalil has 18%, Pacheco, 12%, Ben Mendes, 6%, Simões, 5%, and Rocha, 4%.
The institute also carried out six second-round simulations. Cleitinho scores 48% against Kalil’s 26% and 43% compared to Pacheco’s 23%.
The name of the Republicans also appears with 46% against 13% for Simões and has 45% compared to 13% for Roscoe.
Two other scenarios considered were a dispute between Pacheco and Simões, in which the senator scores 30% against 17% for the current governor.
Between Kalil and Simões, there is an advantage for the current occupant of Palácio Tiradentes, 28% to 18%.
Rejection
Kalil leads in rejection, according to the survey. Of those interviewed, 36% said they know and would not vote for the former mayor of Belo Horizonte. Next comes Pacheco, with a percentage of 28%. Cleitinho and Simões add up to 20% each.
Azevedo has a 15% rejection rate, Ben Mendes, 12%, Roscoe, 9%, and Rocha, 8%.
Government assessment
The survey also asked voters about how they evaluate the management of former governor Zema, who is a pre-candidate for President. The positive evaluation is 32%, against 26% negative. For 36%, government is regular.
Senate
In the survey on voting intentions for the Senate, the former mayor of Contagem Marília Campos (PT) has 19%, and the federal deputy (PSD) appears with 11%.
Current senator Carlos Viana (PSD) scores 10%, Zema’s former secretary Marcelo Aro (PP) scores 9%, and federal deputy Domingos Sávio (PL) scores 8%.
Áurea Carolina (PSOL), 6%, Vanessa Portugal (PSTU), 3%, and Jarbas Soares (PSB), 1%. Nulls and blanks are 20%, and 13% don’t know.
In the scenario without Aécio, Marília scores 17%, Viana has 15%, Sávio, 8%, Áurea Carolina, 6%, and Aro, 4%. In this section, Eduardo Costa (Citizenship) appears, with 2%.
