PT: polarization is consolidated and the 3rd copy will be ashamed – 02/14/2026 – Panel

Allies say that the latest wave of voting intention polls, which showed the consolidation of Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in second position, was already expected and makes the third way unfeasible.

According to a leader close to the president, “the third way is doomed to shame.” Today, the most competitive candidate in this field would be the one who has scored between 8% and 10%, depending on the survey.

For this source, the polarization seen in 2022 has already been repeated, and Flávio’s rise in the polls shortly after announcing his pre-candidacy is not surprising.

In the latest Quaest survey, released on Wednesday (11), Lula has a difference of just 5 points over the senator in the second round, with 43% to 38%.

The works with the repetition of this polarization scenario also in the majority of states, with difficulty in the emergence of candidacies not aligned with any pole in places such as São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro.


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