The classified report of the National Intelligence Council for February 2026, according to ‘The New York Times’ and ‘The Washington Post’ and later the weekly ‘Newsweek’, on March 9, was prepared a few days before the start of the Iran war, on February 28. I told the president two things Trump: Neither a limited airstrike campaign nor a prolonged military campaign had any chance of getting a new government to take charge of Iran. That is to say, he added water to the wine in the hackneyed formula of regime change.
And the report contemplated the death of the supreme leader, the Ayatollah Ali Jameneíand other leaders. But this would not bring about change because there was no coalition of opposition forces. Continuity in power would follow the death of the leaders.
Also the general of the air Dan Cainechairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, appointed by Trumpwarned the president of the repercussions in the region of attacks on Iran, including possible retaliation from forces that support Iran in the area, such as the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The influential digital portal Axios reported that Caine advised caution to Trump.
In his latest statements on the origin of the attack plan on Iran, Trump He said that those who advised him were his son-in-law Jared Kushner and his special envoy to Ukraine and Israel, the real estate businessman Steve Witkoff. They advised him to do so after seeing that the negotiations in Geneva on nuclear weapons were not progressing.
It is not what the mediator, the foreign minister of Oman, Badr Albusaidiperceived and declared on Friday, February 27: “We have made significant progress. I look forward to upcoming and decisive agreements.” Indeed, the negotiators met in Vienna the following week. The war began on the morning of the 28th.
The fact is that citing Kushner y a Witkoff -beyond the fact that it is difficult to believe Trump– that is: ‘Two Zionists at heart and friends of Netanyahu They convinced me.’
At a conference organized in New York and London last Tuesday, the 10th, for an urgent debate on whether Iran can survive, the Iranian-American history professor Ervand Abrahamianspecialized in the repression of the regime, explained one of the keys to the situation. “The United States has outsourced its Iran policy to Israel after the 1979 revolution. The State Department has no presence in Tehran nor is reliable information received from there in Washington. Everything has been outsourced to Netanyahu for decades, with the exception of the presidency of Obama” he explained.
Abrahamian stressed: “It is true that Trump sits in the driver’s seat. But the map is made by Netanyahu and his team.”
This would explain, according to the historian, the contradictions and vagueness of the statements of both Trump as well as the Department of Defense.
Abrahamian rules out that the problem is nuclear weapons. “If this were the case, Netanyahu would not have been so determined to end the agreement between Obama and Iran, first lobbying with the Republican party in opposition and then with the arrival of Trump in 2019 to the White House directly with the president whom he convinced to throw the agreed document in the trash.” According to him, the plan involved limiting the uranium enrichment capacity and subjecting the pact to the supervision of US experts, among other participants. He also does not believe that the problem is ballistic or intercontinental missiles.
And the regime change? “Neither. They knew that a military coup d’état was a chimera. And that it even meant that the toughest sector, that of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard, would take power, which would mean a more aggressive regime,” he points out.
The plan of Netanyahu It consists of doing the same thing that has been done with Syria, Yemen and Libya: destroying both countries institutionally speaking. Dismantle your states.
“In Syria it was done through the infiltration of American weapons and the bloody ISIS was created. Syria has been dismantled. I am worried that weapons will reach Iran from abroad. Because there are groups, like the Kurds, for example, that could take them and precipitate a civil war. That is the plan of Netanyahu. Erase Iran from the map.” It is interesting to note that in a way the assassination of Ali Khamenei has already produced a regime change. Because now the one in charge in Iran is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard under direct control of Mojtaba Jameneithe new supreme leader. Before there was a Supreme Council that ruled; now all power has passed to the Guard.
An Iranian emigration to Europe could be even greater than that of Syria, which reached a figure of 2.3 million. Characters like the German chancellor Friedrich Merz and Ursula Von Leyen – who support Trump – seem to be ignorant of what this caused in German politics in 2005, with the rise of the extreme right in response to the doors opened by the chancellor Angela Merkel.
The generalization of war is a fact, just as they warned Trump. The paradox is that the only crude oil tankers that leave the Strait of Hormuz are those used by Iran to export to China.
Map of Kharg Island (Iran) / EP
Now, the major military objective moves to the tiny 22 square kilometer island, Kharg, in the Persian Gulf, the so-called forbidden island held by the Revolutionary Guard where 90% of Iran’s crude oil exports are processed (950 million barrels every day, 28 kilometers from the Iranian coast.
Trump must sing little virgin, little virgin that I stay as I am, or as I was. Because their 12 days of unprovoked war have already turned the world upside down.
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