The Oscar pool
Here you have the pool of the main categories and a link to the rest of the bets to obtain the rest of the statuettes:
Best movie. will win One battle after another. Paul Thomas Anderson will come out at the end of the gala with his producers to collect this statuette, as he has already done at the Bafta, the Golden Globes, the César, the Critics Choice, the DGA for directors, the PGA for producers… That he will win at the Actors Awards The sinners It’s not going to influence. And it doesn’t matter that Ryan Coogler’s film has achieved 16 nominations, a record. In the history of the Oscars, 41 individuals have been nominated in at least four different categories. Of them, only two have surpassed six nominations without ever winning an Oscar: Bradley Cooper (12) and Paul Thomas Anderson, Paul Thomas Anderson (14). On Sunday Anderson will make up for it.
Best address. Without a doubt, Paul Thomas Anderson. Another fixture in the pool. In The Hollywood Reporter They give it, using a mathematical model that values previous prizes, a 65.9% chance.
Best actor. The battle of the night. Eliminating Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon), and as much as I like Wagner Moura, also removing the protagonist of The secret agent, there are still three left. You have to make decisions. I eliminate DiCaprio, although, warning, he is the most underrated actor today. It seems difficult for me, thinking about the vote from outside the United States, for Michael B. Jordan to win for his double role in The Sinners. Of course, will the campaign against Timothée Chalamet have succeeded? Personally, I think it’s great in Marty Supreme. Now, in the rush final, Jordan wins.
Best actress. Jessie Buckley, Hamnet. He has won all the possible awards of the season. For THR, 89.3%.
Best supporting actor. This statuette, when the season started, seemed to Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein. Afterwards, the stretch began in which Stellan Skarsgård swept, for Valor sentimental, with Golden Globe included. But Valor sentimental It did not enter the Actors Awards. And here came Sean Penn, with his imitation of the head of ICE in One battle after another. In addition, he won at the Bafta. But… I don’t know, Skarsgård isn’t going to easily return to the Oscars. It would be the nice surprise of the night, relying on the European vote. Now, Penn talking about Trump… Anyway, another one for One battle after another.
Best supporting actress. Only once in this century (and eight in the history of the Oscars) has an actress won the Oscar with a film that only competed in this category: Penélope Cruz for Vicky Cristina Barcelona. Amy Madigan is alone defending Weapons. Teyana Taylor (One battle after another) won the Golden Globe; Wunmi Mosaku (The sinners) took the Bafta. I thought Mosaku would win, after the Actors, it is no longer clear. All in all, long live the risk: Mosaku. And it hurts that in the end I only go to greet Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, the sister of Valor sentimental.
Best original screenplay. Ryan Coogler has no rival: he has taken it all with The sinners. This is fixed figurine.
Best adapted screenplay. Paul Thomas Anderson has not let anyone defeat him in this department either with his free adaptation of Thomas Pynchon’s novel. Another winning horse.
