The majority of Brazilians, 59%, say that the former president () should serve time at home instead of returning to prison, according to a survey.
Those who say that Bolsonaro should return to prison total 37%, while 5% were unable to respond. The survey’s margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points.
Datafolha interviewed 2,004 people in 137 cities in the country between Tuesday (7) and Thursday (9) in April. The survey was registered with the Electoral Court under number BR-03770/2026.
On the 27th, after the minister of the (Supreme Federal Court) ordered temporary house arrest for 90 days. After this period, Moraes may extend the house arrest or order Bolsonaro.
for participating in the coup plot after losing the 2022 election, Bolsonaro was serving a sentence in the 19th Military Police Battalion of the Federal District, known as Papudinha,.
The former president was diagnosed with both lungs caused by aspiration, due to his hiccups. Given this, Bolsonaro’s defense presented a new request for house arrest, while (PL), (PL-RJ) and (Republicanos-SP) had meetings with Moraes to reinforce the election, which ended.
The percentage of those who say that Bolsonaro should stay at home is 61% among those over 60 and reaches 81% among businesspeople. Those who advocate that the former president serve time in prison total 44% among young people aged 16 to 24 and 42% among unemployed people.
Among residents of the Northeast, 48% want house arrest and 47% want common prison, with a four-point margin of error, which constitutes a technical tie.
There is also variation according to the political position declared by the interviewee. Those who classify themselves as centrist have 53% in favor of domicile and 41% for a return to Papudinha. Among the most Bolsonaro supporters, 94% defend house arrest and 3% do not. Among the most PT members, 28% prefer the former president at home and 68% want him to return from prison.
When we consider who intends to vote for (PT) this year, 30% support house arrest and 66% want a return to prison. Flávio Bolsonaro’s declared voters think differently, 93% are in favor of the senator’s father serving time at home and only 5% say he should return to Papudinha.
() voters are divided between 80% for Bolsonaro to remain at home and 15% for him to return to prison.
Moraes granted Bolsonaro house arrest. Failure to comply with precautionary measures could result in a return to the closed regime, warned the minister.
Bolsonaro is obliged to use and is prohibited from using social media or recording audio or videos. Gatherings within a radius of one kilometer from your home were also prohibited.
The former president can receive his children, but under the same hours and rules as Papudinha, which provides for visits on Wednesdays and Saturdays, between 8am and 4pm. Lawyers can visit you every day for 30 minutes, but they need to make an appointment with the Military Police in advance. The former president’s doctors have free access.
Other visits are prohibited within these 90 days to preserve Bolsonaro’s health and avoid infections, according to Moraes’ decision. At this point, the rules are stricter than in Papudinha, where the former president received allies to discuss the electoral scenario. Therefore, the defense is considering appealing.
The Datafolha survey, released on Saturday (11), also showed that Lula was in this year’s election.
He was surpassed numerically for the first time by Flávio, who reached 46% compared to 45% for the PT member. When the rival is Caiado or (Novo), the representative scores 45% to 42%. All results constitute ties within the margin of error.
