The true 7×1 that the president has, has serious repercussions on the direction of the government, national politics and in an election year. In this package, the PT candidate’s candidacy becomes much more questionable than it already was.
Not long ago, when he said in an interview with the ICL website, Lula generated speculation. Journalists with behind-the-scenes access echoed the statement and left the feeling that it would still be an alternative.
Columnist Ricardo Kotscho, from UOL, a personal friend of the president, considered the hypothesis possible and even desirable. And in addition to Haddad, he cited the vice president as a name to confront Bolsonarism.
Lula, but the hypothesis remained in the air.
There would be countless injunctions and complications to be considered in a change of direction of this magnitude. In Brazil, however, radical changes to the script are part of the show – and have been tested with historical frequency. A withdrawal based on personal problems could be planned and the presence of the incumbent president in the campaign could weigh heavily.
Yes, the rejection of and the expected overturn of the vetoes on legislation that changes due to an attempted coup do not, in itself, make the candidacy for re-election unfeasible. There is still time to seek new arrangements and try to reverse the malaise. There is, however, no way to fail to see that the coup is being very harsh at a time when Lula was already facing strong headwinds.
There also seems to be a conflict with himself, a politician forged in other times who reaches an advanced age and begins to provoke in voters the image of political fatigue, repetition of formulas, low probability of a future with new developments.
This situation, detected by research, is aggravated by the consensual assessment that the old fox — regardless of the merits of the nominee. It wasn’t really him who lost, but his demiurge.
Lula’s blundering with the timing and profile of his choice, with the disarticulation of his government and the difficulty in realizing that the high tide was coming is the great damage of the episode in terms of personal image.
It would be that goal that was not very easy to score, but that in the past would have been considered done. This time, however, it was disgracefully lost. The 7×1 flavor is back. The legend suffered a shock.
None of this, I repeat, is a greater certainty of electoral defeat. It turns out that the forecasts were no longer the most optimistic before the defeat and now they are only getting worse.
It will be necessary to wait for the government’s reactions to the consequences of the imposed defeat. Lula chose to lean left in the political heart of the Planalto, with the articulation, and in the Government Secretariat — strategic positions. It doesn’t seem to have worked, although one cannot blame them for the spectacle of errors and also the sordidness of low politics.
Will the government Congress react against electoral agendas such as? Will the economy help – or, as it seems, will it be a cause for new concerns? Will Lula give up?
In other words, the screenwriter.
LINK PRESENT: Did you like this text? Subscribers can access seven free accesses from any link per day. Just click the blue F below.
