More than 41 million Colombians go to the polls this Sunday to decide the president who will lead the country for the next four years, in a dispute that is very reminiscent of the 2022 electoral race. The favorites are a candidate from the left, a more populist right-wing outsider and a more traditional right-winger. According to all the voting intention polls released during the year, , to decide the winner.
Studies show that philosopher and senator Iván Cepeda, from the center-left Pacto Histórico (PH) party, is the favorite to lead the vote count in the first round, with around 40% of the votes.
Second place should go to millionaire lawyer Abelardo Gabriel De la Espriella, from Defensores de la Patria, with something close to 30% of preferences, according to the average of the polls.
In recent weeks, he has statistically moved away from the voting intentions of right-wing senator Paloma Valencia, from the Democratic Center, who should have a little more than 18%.
In 2022, current president Gustavo Petro also reached the final stretch ahead of Rodolfo Hernández and Federico Gutiérrez, who represented the right-wing forces.
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For the second round, there is a possibility that preferences will reverse, as some polls place De la Espriella, but by a narrow margin. There are studies, however, maintaining Cepeda’s favoritism, based on a recovery in approval of President Petro’s performance – after recent measures linked to taxes and the job market.
But lawyer Espriella, self-nicknamed “El Tigre” and defender of conservative leaders such as Javier Milei (Argentina), Nayib Bukele (El Salvador) and Donald Trump (United States), has been running a campaign focused on family values and public security, issues that are very important to a significant portion of society.
