The federal government estimates a fiscal impact of R$111 billion per year with the proposals being processed by the National Congress, classified as “bomb agendas” by the Ministry of Finance.
The estimate considers the bill that deals with the renegotiation of rural debts, approved by the Federal Senate last Wednesday (10), without an agreement with the government. The proposal will cost.
In the calculation, the economic team also included the Complementary Bill that raises the ceiling of Simples Nacional. According to the Ministries of Finance and Planning, the proposal implies a revenue waiver of R$50 billion per year.
The PEC (Proposed Amendment to the Constitution) that expands the Municipal Participation Fund is expected to reduce the Union’s net revenues by R$10 billion annually.
PEC 5/2023, relating to the expansion of tax immunity for religious temples, also has a minimum cost estimated at R$10 billion per year.
The calculation also considers. Look:
- PL 5,122/2023, which deals with the renegotiation of debts with equalization of interest rates by the Union: up to R$140 billion in 13 years or around R$10.7 billion per year;
- PLP 108/2021, which raises the ceiling of Simples Nacional: revenue waiver of R$50 billion per year;
- PEC 231/2019, which expands the Municipal Participation Fund: reduces the Union’s net revenues by R$10 billion annually;
- PEC 5/2023, relating to the expansion of tax immunity for religious temples: has a minimum cost estimated at R$10 billion per year;
- PLP 11/2026, which creates benefits for non-profit entities: waiver of R$1 billion per year;
- PEC 383/2017, which links resources to the Unified Social Assistance System: generates average additional expenditure of R$9 billion per year, the total increase between 2026 and 2030;
- PL 4,728/2020, which establishes a new Special Tax Regularization Program: has an average cost of R$8.8 billion annually;
- PL 1,365/2022, which refers to doctors and dental surgeons: would increase union spending by R$8.4 billion per year, not counting states, municipalities and the Ebserh network;
- PEC 14/2021, which creates differentiated retirement for community health workers and those fighting endemic diseases: actuarial deficit of R$3 billion per year.
The processing of the proposals has worried the economic team. Last Tuesday (9), the Minister of Finance, Dario Durigan, met with the President of the Senate, Davi Alcolumbre, to discuss the issue.
According to the federal government, the estimates combine revenue waivers and mandatory expenses, including equalization of interest rates and social security impacts, which directly affect public accounts.
The economic team also reported that the annual averages assume a uniform distribution of costs, without monetary updating, so that the effective impact in each year may be greater.
