The decision to classify (Primeiro Comando da Capital) and CV () as terrorist organizations has more support in Brazil among men, evangelicals () in 2022, according to the most recent survey.
Carried out on June 17 and 18, the survey interviewed 2,004 people aged 16 or over in 139 municipalities across the country. The margin of error for the total sample is two percentage points, but varies within population groups. The research is registered with the (Superior Electoral Court) under number BR-09956/2026.
The change in classification was determined by the government at the end of May and the beginning of June (). The following day, a statement from Palácio do Planalto said that “the security of our population is too important to be manipulated by traitors”.
According to Datafolha, the majority of Brazilians (83%) were aware of the measure and 59% agreed with the new criteria. Another 33% disagree, 7% don’t know and 1% have no opinion about it.
The male audience was more affected by the change in classification than the female audience. Among men, 53% completely agree and 12% partially agree. Among women, the percentages are 38% and 16%, respectively.
Men say they have more knowledge about the topic than women: 47% of them say they are well informed about the subject compared to 25% of women. When dividing by gender, the margin of error is three percentage points, plus or minus.
US legislation to combat crime allows the country to investigate, sanction and eventually prosecute individuals or legal entities even if they are outside its territory. The main practical effect.
Since the measure came into force, the US has been able to punish institutions that it considers negligent in combating factions by not barring customers with some type of link to criminal organizations, even if involuntarily.
As shown by SheetBrazilian internal data to identify partners with potential connections to any of the criminal organizations — whether customers, suppliers or service providers.
The most recent round of Datafolha also shows that the evangelical public (70%) agrees more with the change in the status of the PCC and the CV than the Catholic public (56%).
The same scenario occurs for those who declare that they voted for the former president in 2022. According to the survey, 81% of those who opted for Bolsonaro in the last national dispute agree with the initiative. Among Lula’s, 38%.
The margin of error for voting in 2022 is 3 to 4 percentage points, plus or minus. For the religious segment, it varies from 3 to 5 percentage points more or less.
There are no major differences in the cut-off by region. Southeast, South and Central-West are tied within the margin of error, with percentages of agreement between 60% and 64%. The lowest is in the Northeast, where 53% say they agree with Trump’s initiative. In the segment by region, the margin of error varies from 3 to 6 percentage points.
The change has more support among younger and more educated people.
According to Datafolha, 65% of those aged between 16 and 44 agree with the initiative. Among those with higher education, the rate is 64%.
The change in the American point of view had been rehearsed by the President of the United States since the beginning of the year.
The Lula government, on the other hand, told interlocutors to act to avoid or postpone the measure.
The PT’s interlocutors told allies they feared the possibility of American interventions in Brazil and potential electoral erosion, as the president must seek re-election.
Datafolha also asked interviewees whether they agreed or disagreed with certain statements on the topic.
In total, 50% of Brazilians agree with the statement that “the United States government wants to combat criminal factions in Brazil to help the Brazilian population.”
Another 47% say that the United States government is using criminal factions as an excuse to rule Brazil (among women, 50%, and among men, 44%).
The lowest overall percentage is for those who agree with the possibility that the US “has the right to attack members of criminal factions within Brazil without notifying the Brazilian government”: according to the survey, 22% agree with this hypothesis.
In the latter case, the largest portion of those who agree are men (30%) and declared their vote for Jair Bolsonaro in 2022 (40%). Lula’s voters who endorse the idea of an attack without prior warning total 8%.
The decision to classify Comando Vermelho and the PCC as terrorist organizations came days after an agenda with the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, the senator and pre-candidate for President (PL).
Flávio had influence on the US decision for 54% of Brazilians, and the majority (71%) of those who see his influence in the case declared having voted for Lula in 2022.
The majority (57%) think that the actions of Jair’s eldest son were negative for Brazil, while 37% see positive aspects. Another 3% say that the influence of the former president’s eldest son was neither positive nor negative and 2% did not know how to answer.
