Brazil and Japan face each other this Monday (29), at 2 pm, looking for a place in the round of 16 of the World Cup. The confrontation promises to be balanced, according to calculations by the Mathematics Department of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG).
Studies carried out by Professor Gilcione Costa show that the most likely result of the match is a draw. The teams have a 40.44% chance of finishing equal after 90 minutes.
In the case of a winner, the team appears to have more chances of triumph: 36.34% for the Canarinho team against 23.22% for the Japanese. With extra time and penalties, the team has a 56.6% chance of qualifying against 43.4% for the team.
Criteria for calculations
To arrive at the result, the Mathematics Department at the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG) carried out five million simulations.
Brazil appears 5th in the ranking of favorites for the World Cup title
The Brazilian team is the fifth most likely to win the World Cup, according to a study carried out by the Opta supercomputer. France is the big favorite, with an 18.7% chance of lifting the cup and winning the third world championship. The Blues are followed by Argentina (16.3%), Spain (13.5%) and England (9.7%).
