Allied deputies of (PT) and government members acknowledged the defeat imposed by the approval of the progress of the amnesty proposal to the convicts of scammers. They bet, however, in an agreement with the center to discuss only the reduction of penalties.
Government groups evaluate that the approval of the proposal on Wednesday (17), the result of a right-handed covenant with the right, gives breath so that Bolsonarists try to get a broad amnesty, seeking to deliver the former president () from prison.
Lula’s allies launch doubts about the mayor’s capacity, (-PB), to contain the opposition and with wings of the Federal Supreme Court () to reject the amnesty and approve only the reduction of penalties. These governors do not hide a frustration with Motta’s stance, even though they do not speak in break with the parliamentarian.
On Wednesday night, the House approved the urgent application for the amnesty with 311 favorable votes and 163 against. Parties with representation in the petista terrace that led to the approval of the text.
From now on, parliamentarians will discuss whether they will approve a wide forgiveness, which even involves Bolsonaro, or a reduction in penalties, such as the Supreme wings.
Centrão members have confidentially closed the terms of an agreement involving the voting of a project that reduces penalties by scammer acts, the guarantee that Bolsonaro could serve a sentence on a home regime and the rejection of any form of forgiveness for the crimes judged by the Supreme Court, according to people who participate in the negotiations.
Lula’s allies in the House assess that, from now on, the center should not ally with the pockets, precisely because of the reaction of court ministers.
They cite as an example the celebration of former presenter Paulo Figueiredo, who has acted with (PL) in the United States for sanctions to Brazilian authorities, given the result of this Wednesday.
“You were heroes and defeated Gilmar [Mendes, ministro do STF]Lula, Alexandre [de Moraes] and cia. Now is to fight for the text. Broad, general and unrestricted amnesty. And you can be sure: next week, the artillery will continue here by supporting you from the infantry. Amnesty now, “he wrote in a publication on the networks.
A leader states, under reserve, that the vote of amnesty urgency and this Wednesday are a “full plate” for an offensive of the Supreme Court, especially in actions that supervise compliance with the transparency rules of the execution of parliamentary amendments. A petista says that the minister, rapporteur of these actions, is enough to take their confidentiality to reach a series of deputies, without having to condemn them in court.
In addition, petistas evaluate that even pockets may be interested in the agreement. A broad amnesty, they point out, would be vetoed by Lula or considered unconstitutional by the Supreme Court, which would cause Bolsonaro to go to the closed regime and still lose any chance of an agreement to serve a sentence in house arrest-priority to the former president’s allies.
President Lula for coup acts. At lunch with PDT members on Wednesday, he said he was arrested for 580 days and knows this is not easy.
He did not specify whether he would agree with a proposal that reached only those convicted of the acts of January 8, 2023 or also favored those involved in the coup plot, such as Bolsonaro.
A Lulist base parliamentarian who followed the negotiations on Wednesday says that the vote represents an alert to the government about the instability of its congressional base on the eve of the election year and at a time when the executive bets on projects in Congress to help Lula’s reelection in 2026.
He says the Centrão Alliance with the right on Wednesday was for a series of reasons, but points out how the main dispute the government has been waggaled with the political class, in a speech labeled as “us against them.”
This politician evaluates that Planalto’s effort in recent days to mobilize allied parties against amnesty did not represent results ,.
Even the three alternates of the ministers who are licensed federal deputies-Celso Sabino (União-PA), André Fufuca (PP-MA) and Silvio Costa Filho (Republicans-PE)-voted in favor of the urgency.
If Centrão’s agreement with the STF is broken and results in the approval of a broad amnesty, members of the government bet on the Senate to contain the advance of this agenda.
They remember that two thirds of senators can compete next year, which would be enough to release on these parliamentarians the fear of wearing out of their voters on matters capable of carrying negative repercussions such as amnesty and the arm of armor.
