The outline of a new international agreement on Palestinian emerges through its ashes and diplomatic mobility focusing on the United Nations General Assembly in. The US president’s meeting with the Israeli prime minister on Monday will be decisive for developments, if the conflict of the interests of the key protagonists beyond the declarations and deeds is confirmed.
From his step on Friday, Netanyahu likened the solution of the two states with suicide for Israel saying that “It would be as if the US allowed the creation of a state of al -Qaeda just a mile from New York.”.
The Israeli prime minister has avoided referring to the agreement underdeveloped, claiming Hamas to deposit weapons and release the hostages. “If you do this, the war will end now” said Netanyahu.
His speech was broadcast with loudspeakers in Gaza. However, Netanyahu appeared as if he was more addressed inside Israel to defend his policy in view of critical decisions, rather than the international audience.
Trump’s statement that he will not allow Israel to annex the occupied western bump and aversion “So here.” Received by Netanyahu, they reveal the magnitude of Israel’s international isolation.
However, Netanyahu holds strong papers in his hands. Within two years of war, which was triggered by Hamas by the attack on October 7, Israel has severely hit its most important enemies, Iran and the Lebanese Hezbollah organization, occupied more Syrian territory.
Developments after Qatar
“Drunk” by these successes, Netanyahu launched the failed Israeli air raid on Hamas’s leadership in Qatar and threatened with the annexation of the West Bank, thrilling his far -right government partners, but not their traditional allies.
Europeans have seen the solution of the two states, which is one of the main pillars of their policy in the Middle East, while the Arabs warned that the annex would mean the end of Abraham’s agreements.
The 21 -point plan in the works following intensive consultations between Americans, Europeans and Arabs (with the participation of Turkey) provides for the creation of an international transitional authority in Gaza that will function as a supreme authority for five years, under the auspices of the UN Security Council.
This Authority, probably under the presidency of the British former prime minister Tony Blairit will initially be based in the Egyptian border town of El Arias and enter Gaza, accompanied by armed force composed of Arab and Muslim countries, which will also take on the highest weight of reconstruction. Turkey is willing to offer “services” at the political and military level.
It is essentially a combination of the Trump plan to convert Gaza into Riviera and the Arab Planning Plan. The “dark” spots of the plan include Blair himself who is appreciated by the regimes, but not by the peoples of the Middle East because of false allegations of the Iraq war. Blair’s office clarified that the plan does not include the Palestinian displacement of the Gaza Strip.
Abbas appeal and Hamas’s attitude
The Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas He called on Hamas to hand over the weapons to the Palestinian Authority, promised reforms and free elections in one year. . Its senior executives describe as a necessary sacrifice of 65,000 dead Palestinians and 165,000 injured in Gaza, while claiming that the 7 October attack was the last means of resistance to Israel.
Hamas’s influence seems to have been reduced due to the suffering of the war, but this does not mean that the impoverished population of Gaza will welcome the Palestinian Authority as a Savior. It could be a new political form with the involvement of Hamas people to claim power in the polls.
The plan for the international transitional authority, which paves the way for a ceasefire, leaves room for all sides to agree on a temporary solution, even to Benjamin Netanyahu. It could “freeze” the war by citing “suffocating pressure” from the US without agreeing to the two states, refer to future negotiations, and maintain the threat of annexation of the D. Ohis at least as long as it remains in power.
Multiple aspects of recognitions
The recent wave of Palestinian state recognitions from France, Britain, Belgium, Australia and other countries (now amount to 157 of 193 UN members) came after the UN Committee was found for Palestinian genocide from Israel. In addition to the high symbolism, recognitions are preparing the ground for a compromise in a new security environment, where the Palestinian leadership will come much weaker than three decades ago in Oslo.
In particular, Britain and France, which have historical reasons for engaging in Palestinian, serve their interests in the Arab world (economic relations, sales of military material, etc.) while expanding internal pressures to impose sanctions on the Jewish state. It was a thoughtful move to stay in the “next day” game with serious claims.
