The 2025 Brazilian Championship is heading towards its final stretch with fights involving the title, the Libertadores, Sudamericana and, of course, relegation.
The mathematics and statistics department at UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais), traditionally, does the math for each team in the Brasileirão involving their respective objectives. Check it out!
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Which teams have the best chance of winning the Brazilian Championship?
Department of Mathematics at UFMG
- Palm trees: 48.8%
- Flamengo: 48.3%
- Cruise: 2.6%
Which teams have the best chance of winning the Libertadores in the Brazilian Championship?
Department of Mathematics at UFMG
- Flamengo: 100%
- Palm trees: 100%
- Cruise: 99.2%
- Mirassol: 97.1%
- Bahia: 84,8%
- Botafogo: 66%
- Fluminense: 25.5%
- Vasco: 11,8%
- São Paulo: 5.1%
- Inter: 2,6%
- Bragantino: 1.9%
- Grêmio: 1.8%
- Corinthians: 1,6%
- Ceará: 1.3%
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Which teams have the best chance of qualifying for the South American Championship in the Brazilian Championship?
Department of Mathematics at UFMG
- Vasco: 76,9%%
- Fluminense: 70.2%
- São Paulo: 69.4%
- Bragantino: 56.4%
- Grêmio: 55.7%
- Inter: 55,5%
- Corinthians: 53,6%
- Ceará: 48%
- Atlético-MG; 35.4%
- Botafogo: 33.9%
- Santos: 15,2%
- Bahia: 15,1%
- Victory: 10.3%
- Mirassol: 2.9%
Which teams are most likely to be relegated in the Brazilian Championship?
Department of Mathematics at UFMG
- Sport: 99,79%
- Fortaleza: 90,4%
- Youth: 89.4%
- Victory: 44.6%
- Santos: 34,8%
- Atlético-MG: 12.8%
- Ceará: 6.6%
- Inter: 5,5%
- Corinthians: 5,3%
- Bragantino: 4.7%
- Grêmio: 4%
- São Paulo: 1.7%
Note updated on October 21st, at 11:14 am
