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The Real Time Big Data survey, released this Tuesday (3), showed voting intentions with the names of pre-candidates for the presidency of the Republic.
The survey also shows intentions for the second round in seven scenarios. In the first, current president Lula (PT) appears with 51%; Aldo Rebelo (DC) with 19%; Null/White with 14% and NS/NR with 16%.
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In scenario 02, pre-candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) appear technically tied, with 42% and 41%, respectively. Null/blank appears at 10% and NS/NR are 7%.
The research was released this Tuesday/Photo: Real Time Big Data
In scenario 03, Lula has 46%, while Eduardo Leite (PSD) appears with 35%. Nulls/blanks are 12%, and NS/NR are 7%.
In scenario 04, Lula also remains in the lead, with 43%; Ratinho Junior, from the PSD, appears with 39%. Nulls/blanks are 11%, and NS/NR are 7%.
The survey is plus or minus 2 percentage points/Photo: Real Time Big Data
In scenario 05, the current president has 51% of voting intentions, while Renan Santos (Mission) appears with 18%. Nulls/blanks are 15%, and NS/NR are 16%.
In the sixth scenario, Lula has 44% and Romeu Zema (Novo) has 35%. Nulls/blanks are 13%, and NS/NR are 8%. In scenario 07, Lula has 45% and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) has 36%. Nulls/blanks are 12%, and NS/NR are 7%.
About the search
The Southeast represents 42% of respondents, the Northeast 28%, the South with 15%, the North with 8% and the Central-West with 7%.
2 thousand interviews were carried out, with a margin of error of +/- 2.0 pp. The confidence index is 95% and the research field date is from February 28th to March 2nd, 2026. The research was registered under number BR-09353/2026.
Voting of candidates
The research also shows the voteability of pre-candidates for the presidency of the Republic.
Aldo Rebelo (DC) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 1%
- Can I vote: 22%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 36%
- I don’t know: 41%
Eduardo Leite (PSD) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 2%
- Can I vote: 31%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 30%
- I don’t know: 37%
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 22%
- Can I vote: 22%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 47%
- I don’t know: 9%
Lula (PT) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 35%
- Can I vote: 16%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 47%
- I don’t know: 2%
Ratinho Junior (PSD) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 5%
- Can I vote: 38%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 36%
- I don’t know: 21%
Renan Santos (Mission) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 1%
- Can I vote: 23%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 21%
- I don’t know: 55%
Romeu Zema (New) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 2%
- Can I vote: 30%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 36%
- I don’t know: 32%
Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) appears as follows:
- It’s my vote: 3%
- Can I vote: 33%
- I know and wouldn’t vote: 39%
- I don’t know: 25%
