Quaest: Lula leads 1st round with 39%; Flávio has 33%

Genial/Quaest research released this Wednesday (13) shows that the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leads in the first round of the dispute Planalto Palace, com 39% of voting intentions. Afterwards, the senator Flavio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) appears with 33%.

In the scenario tested by the institute, with ten possible candidates, the former governor of Goiás Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) and the former governor of Minas Gerais Romeu Zema (New)appear with 4% each.

The coordinator of MBL (Movimento Brasil Livre), Renan Santos (Mission)scored 2% in the survey, followed by the psychiatrist and writer Augusto Cury (Forward), of the former deputy Cabo Daciolo (Mobiliza) and as a dentist and vice-president of UP, Samara Martins (UP)all with 1%.

The former minister Aldo Rebelo (DC) and the teacher Hertz Dias (PSTU) didn’t score.

Of the total number of interviewees, 10% said they voted blank, null or did not vote, while 5% they said they were undecided.

Methodology

A Brilliant/That’s it interviewed 2,004 votersbetween the days May 8th and 11ththrough a face-to-face interview. The margin of error for the survey is 2 percentage points, more or less, with a confidence interval of 95%.

The research was commissioned by the Cool Bank and is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under the protocol BR-03598/2026.

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