Jair Bolsonaro’s #1 son appeared with 17% of voting intentions before the pre-candidacy became official, now he has jumped to 25% of voting intentions
The most recent Gerp Survey, released this Thursday (11), on voting intentions for the presidency of Brazil in 2026, shows that the president (PT) leads the first round with 34% of voting intentions, but would tie in the second round with and appears in second place with 25%.
Two thousand people were interviewed, divided between the Southeast, Northeast, South, North and Central-West regions. The research was carried out between December 6th and 10th, 2025. The official pre-candidacy of the (Liberal Party) for the Presidency of the Republic made it rise in the polls. The number 1 son of appeared with 17% of voting intentions before the pre-candidacy became official, now it has jumped to 25%.
The data has an impact on the electoral race and places the eldest son of the former president of Brazil as the main name in the conservative field.
First round
- Lula — 34%
- Flávio Bolsonaro — 25%
- Ratinho Jr — 8%
- Ciro Gomes — 7%
- Ronaldo Caiado — 6%
- Romeu Low – 4%
- Pablo Marçal — 4%
- None — 6%
- NS/NR — 5%
In a possible second round, according to the research, Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro appear tied. Bolsonaro’s number 1 son appears with 42% of voting intentions, followed by Lula with 41%. In the margin of errors, the two would technically be tied. The numbers are positive for the right, as the senator grew from 41% to 42%, while Lula fell from 44% to 41%.
Second round simulations:
• Lula — 40% × Jair Bolsonaro — 43%
• Lula — 41% × Flávio Bolsonaro — 42%
• Lula — 41% × Ratinho Jr — 39%
• Lula — 40% × Ronaldo Caiado — 34%
• Lula — 40% × Romeu Zema — 34%
• Lula — 38% × Ciro Gomes — 33%
• Lula — 43% × Pablo Marçal — 31%
