The revolution in Syria has not left Russia in a very good position, which has ended up losing control of key access to the Mediterranean at a geostrategic and commercial level. Russia, which until now had supported the regime of President Bashar al Assad, has also had to escape, limiting its military capacity and suffering a new defeat.
“Russia is strongly attached to Ukraine and did not believe that Syria was worth fighting for now. The production-input ratio was considered such that it is not worth exporting more [recursos] if it is done at the expense of Ukraine,” says Walter Pomell, a professor of strategy at the National Defense University.
According to the academic, This decision will have serious consequences on Russia’s foreign policy and its aspirations. “We have seen that Russia is by no means a particularly reliable partner for many countries. First, Armenia and now Syria: when things start to happen, Russia will not come to the rescue,” Pomell points out.
“In the future, you may find it even more difficult to get partners on your side,” duck. Although it is true that they have not yet had to abandon their military bases installed in Syria, there are reports that support a great loss of power for the regime and its allies. “If Russia loses its presence in the Mediterranean, it would affect its ability to present itself as a great power,” he highlights.
Satellite images show Russia clearing the docks of the Tartus base of its fleet, although it assured that it was simply moving the ships to carry out a naval exercise. “We can probably all figure out which side of things is true.”“he adds. “Resistance could arise from the grassroots and this would slow down the parties in the Syrian war, which are linked to the groups’ mutual conflicts. The situation is unstable and delicate and no one wants to fight the Russians by force,” he comments.
