The government’s (PT) negative assessment remained stable at 40% in the latest survey, while the positive assessment went from 32% to 29% in relation to the previous survey, carried out at the beginning of March.
29% consider the government to be regular, compared to 26%. The margin of error in the survey, carried out from Tuesday (7) to Thursday (9), is plus or minus two percentage points.
Datafolha also sought to find out what the electorate’s opinion is about Lula’s work in the Presidency, held by the PT member for the third time. More bad news for the president: disapproval fluctuated from 49% to 51% and approval from 47% to 45%.
Therefore, even considering the margin of error range, the curve indicates a drop for the PT member. The reversal of the trend was registered in December, when the cycle of good news for Planalto, such as the nationalist campaign and rapprochement with Donald Trump, had ended.
Since then, problems have accumulated. The crisis surrounding what has already been liquidated takes a heavy toll on characters on the right, but Brazilian presidentialism traditionally has the maximum president at the table.
Furthermore, the alliance made by Lula with the Federal Supreme Court in defense of democracy, seeking to oppose Bolsonarism, is now taking its toll with the involvement of court ministers in the scandal involving the former banker and his network of influences.
There are other variables. The biggest decline in the government’s excellent and good assessment occurred in a higher middle class stratum, those who earn 5 to 10 minimum wages. This decline may be related to one of the government’s main concerns in this election year,
Normally only the poorest are talked about, but the issue of tight credit affects several economic segments and, as the higher the income, the greater the education and access to the news tends to be, the correlation between this profile and the negative perception of the government is valid.
Finally, there are exogenous factors, such as , now an unstable ceasefire, which puts pressure on fuel prices and threatens to bring inflation back into the spotlight — with the consequent maintenance of high interest rates, precisely the villain of the family budget in times of easy credit.
Thus, the scenario of apparent stability requires care for the government, even more so at the beginning of a situation that this same Datafolha survey shows is already fierce.
From the point of view of socioeconomic strata, there is strong equivalence between the segments that evaluate Lula highly with measured electoral support. The older people (36%), the less educated (43%) and those from the Northeast (41%) view the government positively than the average — the region has been a Lula stronghold for decades.
More educated people (49%), southerners (49%), evangelicals (52%) and those who earn more than 10 minimum wages (58%) consider the government bad or terrible more than the general population. Failure and approval rates follow similar lines.
In relation to the assessment, Lula continues to be superior as president at this point in his term after redemocratization to his predecessor, . The man currently sentenced to 27 years in prison for an attempted coup d’état had, at this point in his administration, 46% bad/terrible, 28% fair and 25% excellent/good.
The institute’s survey is registered with the Superior Electoral Court under code BR-03770/2026. 2,004 voters were interviewed in 137 cities.
