Lula’s insistence on Messiah is an experiment with a punctured balloon – 05/19/2026 – Dora Kramer

The idea planted in the political news that President Luiz Inácio da Silva () is considering reintroducing the name of to fill the vacancy in the .

In this case, a balloon with many holes. The biggest of them comes up against the impossibility of senators examining a nomination twice in the same legislature. Normative act of the House Bureau, in theory could be revoked through negotiation between the presidencies of the Republic and the .

And then we have the second hole in the balloon. (União-AP) and are not exactly in a position of mutual goodwill, an essential condition for the successful construction of understandings.

Attempts at restoration made by intermediaries have not yet yielded results, as we observed in the distance between the two when Kássio Nunes Marques took over as president of the .

Alcolumbre commands, but the weight of his command is based on the greater or lesser support he has from his peers. Even if it was willing to meet the conveniences of Palácio do Planalto, it would depend on support from the collegiate to take the action forward.

Here, then, is the third hole to be patched: convincing the senators who have just defeated the government to change a rule to nullify their own gesture of opposition. Not impossible, but highly unlikely.

Considering that the government is aware of all these obstacles, the propagation of the idea that there would be insistence on the nomination would serve two possible purposes: to test whether there was a change in the climate after the clash of conversations with () with or simply to mark Lula’s position of authority in the prerogative of appointing judges to the STF.

Both hypotheses have a fragile — if not non-existent — practical effect. If there are other intentions, they remain hidden for now. The fact is that Lula is needlessly exposing himself to a confrontation that he has neither political capital nor legal/institutional support to support.


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