Datafolha: After crisis with ‘Dark Horse’, Lula reaches 47% against Flávio’s 43% in the 2nd round

In the simulation of the first round, the PT member scores 40% compared to 31% for his rival

BRUNO PERES / AGÊNCIA BRASIL AND TON MOLINA / ESTADÃO CONTÚDO
President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro

In the first Datafolha survey, the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) increased his advantage over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) from 3 to 9 points after conversations between the senator and banker Daniel Vorcaro about financing the film about Bolsonaro’s biography became public. In a first round simulation, the current president of the Republic scores 40% compared to 31% for his rival. Nine percent said they would vote blank, null or none.

A week ago, Lula was in a technical draw within the survey’s margin of error of two percentage points with 38% to 35%. In the second round scenario, equality at 45% It has now become an advantage of 47% to 43% for the PT member.

The new Datafolha survey was carried out on Wednesday (20) and Thursday (21) with the film’s controversy widely known. Of the 2,004 respondents, 64%, in 139 cities, said they had heard about the episodewith an equal percentage of those who were heard and believe that the senator had “acted badly”.

In a more likely scenario today in the first round, Lula and Flávio remain isolated ahead. However, former governors Romeu Zema (Novo-MG, 3%) and Ronaldo Caiado (PSD-GO, 4%) they tie with Samara Martins (UP) and Renan Santos (Missão), both with 3%.

Lula also has a hypothetical advantage in the second round over his other rivals. From last week to this, the current president went from 46% to 48% in the clash with Caiadowhich was 39%. Against Romeu Zema, he had the same variation, while Minas Gerais fluctuated from 40% to 39%.

Regarding the rejection of the two leaders, from the public who were questioned, 46% said they would not vote for Flávio at all and 45% also ruled out supporting Lula. Michelle Bolsonaro comes next, with 31% rejection.

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