Os biofuels are at the center of the global strategies of decarbonization And in this movement, Brazil emerges as one of the best positioned countries. During the experts discussed the potential for expansion of ethanol, green diesel, biomethane and sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) inside and outside the country.
Pedro Paranhos, CEO of Evolules Ethanol, highlighted the logistics advances and the performance of the 2024/25 crop, with estimated revenues of R $ 30 billion and capital return of 41%. According to him, the company operates with five logistics routes and search in Brazil and abroad.
“We are the country with the largest percentage of ethanol mixture in the world. If the average parity between ethanol and gasoline falls from 73% to 68%, we can have an additional demand of almost 5 billion liters per crop,” he explained.
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The perspective, according to Paranhos, is that the next decade demands about 20 billion additional liters of ethanol, including the expansion of markets such as Japan and the aviation sector.
Agroenergy and regional diversification
Meanwhile, Erasmo Battistella, CEO of Be8, drew attention to the positive impacts of the biofuels industry on job and income generation. This, especially in regions such as Passo Fundo (RS), where the company develops lower protein quality wheat ethanol.
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“We can transform grains that do not serve human food into energy products and animal nutrition. We are integrating different sectors, such as agricultural, construction and mining, in a fair and sustainable transition,” he said.
Battistella also defended the appreciation of national production with value added, avoiding the simple export of commodities. “We need to face tax issues that still raise our costs and wage the advance.”
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Public Policies and the Future of Renovabio
Representing the federal government, Rafaela Guerrante Siqueira, coordinator of the Department of Biofuels at the Ministry of Mines and Energy, detailed the advances and challenges of the RenovaBio program. According to her, Brazil has one of the lowest decarbonization costs in the world, with international recognition.
The manager also mentioned the regulation of carbon storage activity, the National Green Diesel Program and the public fuel policy of the future.
“The goal is to increase the participation of biofuels based on data, technical tests and regulatory security. We already have advanced tests to raise the biodiesel mixing content and we are discussing the adoption of E30 (30% ethanol gasoline),” he said.
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Carbon market and regulatory security
Alejandro Padron, XP Inc. commodity strategist, stressed the importance of Renovabio as an efficient public policy, but warned of the risk of judicializations, as well as competitive distortions.
“It is a sensational program, but non -compliance with goals creates asymmetries in the market. We hope that, from 2026, there will be more firmness in the application of policy and encouraging the use of biomass,” he said.
Padron also pointed to the growth of corn ethanol and the importance of advancing in the E30 agenda. “The market still seems locked, which generates doubts about the sustainability of growth. But the potential is great, and the alignment between policies and incentives is fundamental.”
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Green Hydrogen and International Cooperation
Flávio Castellari highlighted the Brazilian protagonism in the global energy transition, especially with the use of sugarcane. “Brazil and India are responsible for over 1 billion tons of sugarcane per year. This opens doors for routes such as SAF and Green Hydrogen, with huge export potential and diversification,” he said.
According to him, only 1% of hydrogen production in the world is of clean source, which represents an opportunity for the Brazilian bioenergetic sector.
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“We have technology, competitive cost and a public policy of biofuels in force since 1975. We now need to connect this to innovative productive arrangements and the reality of countries that seek solutions to produce food and energy at the same time.”
