ZAP // André Kosters / Lusa; António José Seguro / Flickr; Depositphotos
Tracking poll One week before the presidential elections, Gouveia e Melo and Marques Mendes are removed from the front trio.
It’s just a poll, and it’s a tracking poll (different from other surveys), but António José Seguro and João Cotrim de Figueiredo – who were constantly in 4th and 5th place – are already forehead. And now further away from the others.
A tracking poll daily Pitagorica for /JN, TVI/CNN Portugal has questions asked over just 3 days, a sample of just 608 people and a margin of error of 4.06% – higher than other surveys.
With these prior indications, the results: António José Seguro leads with 21,4%, João Cotrim de Figueiredo appears right behind 21,1%.
Balance continues to reign among those at the front, as has been the case for months, but now the protagonists are different.
Andre Ventura is in third position, a little further back, with 19,7%. Even further down, but above the margin of error to pass to the second round, are the 17% of Henrique Gouveia e Melo.
Outside the second round, according to these accounts, it would be Luís Marques Mendeswhich led so many polls: just 14,5%. Almost 7 percentage points behind the leader Seguro.
Deeper down are: Catarina Martins (2.6%), António Filipe (2%), Jorge Pinto (0.9%) and Manuel João Vieira (0.7%).
In the question: which candidate passes to second round? There Ventura continues to lead, with 22%. Marques Mendes and Seguro follow, with 20% back.
This investigation also has a revealing conclusion: the media exposure made it Cotrim rose 33 percentage points between the “improved opinion” and “the opinion worsened”; with an advantage for “improved”.
