The White House’s willingness to take risks is a cause for concern – especially after the American attacks on Venezuela and Iran – according to an analysis by Christopher Garman, executive director for the Americas at the Eurasia group.
Garman assesses that the United States and Israel’s war against the Iranians will not have a lasting impact on the global economy – but he shows a Donald Trump “packed” by recent military advances.
“The White House came out of a very successful military operation in Venezuela, so there was a diagnosis that perhaps an attack in Iran could generate a similar result”, says the executive director of Eurasia.
The point, however, is that Caracas and Tehran are very different.
Trump, , managed to quickly collaborate with the rest of the government – including with the new president,
On the Iranians, the US president has constantly changed his position since the beginning of military operations. At first, he said he would like a regime change in the country – with the people taking power. Afterwards, he stated that he was in negotiations with the remaining leadership
“The Iranian leadership is much more ideological,” explains Garman, “the American government is dealing with a regime that is much more difficult to bow to US demands.” The expert points out that, unlike Venezuela, Iran is reacting to American attacks, focusing on bombing Washington’s allies in the region.
“The big risk is not only that we could have an interruption in the oil trade, but also damage to ports and fuel production infrastructures that could take time to recover”, he continues.
As a response marketed throughout the world. Since the second (2), few vessels have crossed the site.
The closure of the site was already foreseen, however, the American government did not put together a plan to avoid or reduce the damage caused by this decision from the adversary.
Finally, Garman explains that the economic impacts of the War against Iran will be short-lived, because it could end in the next two or three weeks, due to the serious damage to Tehran’s military operation.
“The Iranian regime’s ability to react is diminishing,” he concludes.
* published by Danilo Cruz, from CNN Brasil.
