The news couldn’t be worse for PT. In a simulation for the second round, the showed that . A and 49% disapprove of . When it comes to rejection, they are tied again: Lula (46%) and Flávio (45%).
Lula has already successfully surfed other polls and there are seven months left until the election. Until now, he has played stationary, in the shadow of his imprisoned father.
Datafolha’s numbers can be attributed to a polarization that has poisoned the elections since 2018. The numbers from Lula’s third term indicate that there is something unfair about this tie with Flávio. A , but o , workers’ income improved and o .
An explanation may lie in Lula himself. Three days after the release of Datafolha, he repeated his diplomatic encyclical. He campaigns for Itamaraty and took a liking to self-praise (from the Acadêmicos de Niterói samba school). Ulysses Guimarães taught that Itamaraty only gives votes in Burundi.
Lulinha’s silence and absenteeism begin to weigh more heavily on Lulão than Jair Bolsonaro’s incarceration did for his son’s performance. One may think that there is a disproportion in this result, but that is life. Lulinha’s silence became a dead weight for her father.
The surprising rise of Flávio Bolsonaro will be yet another stimulus for Faria Lima to make its choice. . The banker was taken to the president by former minister Guido Mantega, his advisor. The simple fact that Mantega was in Planalto convoying Vorcaro would be enough for Lula’s advisors to say that the two would be received if the hearing went through the proper channels. Only omnipotence explains this encounter. Lula was careful to include witnesses in the conversation. Knowing what he knew about Banco Master, Lula would have done better by refusing to receive Vorcaro.
Omnipotence, in politics, is a cousin of high heels, and many connoisseurs of Brasília are surprised by the height of the PT’s heels. Lula has seven months to put on the sandals of humility.
Only time will explain Lula’s decision to fire the minister. While Lula’s government has a 40% negative rating, Tarcísio’s has a 45% positive rating.
Lula 3.0 cultivates an international agenda that collects the success of neutralizing the damage done by the Bolsonarists in the White House, who poisoned Donald Trump’s relationship with Brazil. The volatility of the American president recommends that this success be taken with caution.
Flávio Bolsonaro will not be able to go far by playing still. His first iron ball will be defending an amnesty for his father, .
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