The boss negotiators of China y USA these days in Paris are clearing the path towards presidential summit in Beijing. It was already expected to be dry due to trade disputes when the Iran war broke out and Trump’s demand that China help you to fix the mess. If Beijing does not send its ships to Strait of HormuzTrump could postpone the appointment. The first will not happen and the second is very unlikely.
Trump stated this Sunday in the ‘Financial Times’ that he wants to know before landing in Beijing if China He is going to participate in that coalition that is trying to form to patrol the Strait of Hormuz. “We could delay it,” he ventured about his visit. Of the chinese dependency of the oil that comes for HormuzIn his opinion, the moral obligation to lend a hand arises.
No response has yet come from Beijing to the invitation, which in itself is a response, but it is a clarification: there is no trace of the desperation that Trump mentions. He energy supply is “relatively strong” and the foundations for responding to market volatility are “relatively good”, the National Statistics Office has said. It has also revealed that domestic crude oil production grew by 1.9% to 35.73 million metric tons in the first two months.
China, armored
Almost half of the crude oil imported by China arrives through Hormuz. The data suggests a tragedy if it remains blocked butº which today would be enough for about four months. Long before China suffers the bite the American inflation to unbearable levels for Trump.
Many observers close to Trump applauded the war in Iran because it mitigated China’s footprint in the area and hampered its energy security. Now surprise in China that his help be asked to mitigate the consequences of a war that he opposed from day one. “Is this about sharing the responsibility or sharing the risk of a war that Washington has started and now doesn’t know how to end (…) In other words, someone set the fire and is now asking the world to share the bill,” says the editorial in the ‘Global Times’ newspaper. “The cause of tension in the Strait of Hormuz “It is not the lack of warships but war,” he concludes.
Nor did his main allies in the country receive the proposal with enthusiasm. Asia Pacific. Not even Japanwith a foreign policy so stubbornly aligned with Washington that it borders on servility. “We have not made any decision on sending escort ships. We continue to examine what Japan can do within the legal framework,” Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said in Parliament this morning.
“existential threat”
The law only allows military operations abroad in case of “existential threat” and it would be very difficult even for Takaichi, an enthusiastic Trump supporter, to convince Parliament that this is the case. Seoul reported on Sunday that it will make the decision “after careful consideration” but its law also requires parliamentary approval.
Australia He’s already thought about it. “We will not send ships to the Strait of Hormuz. We know how important it is, but what is happening there is not something we asked for or contributed to,” said Catherine King of the Albanese Government.
China y United States have concluded today your dialogue on trade in Paris. “Deep, frank and constructive,” said Li Chenggang, chief negotiator, after two days with Scott Bessent, Secretary of the Treasury, at the headquarters of the Organization for Development and Economic Cooperationan institution of democracies that does not have China.
In the sixth round, they were expected to agree on what their bosses will sign in Beijing at the end of the month and there has been talk of agricultural products, rare minerals y airplanes. It is foreseeable that the major agreements will not emerge from this meeting in Beijing, which was hasty and with attention focused on Iran, but rather in the other three presidential meetings of the year.
He came to the meeting China regretting the predictable subterfuges of Trump to circumvent the Supreme Court’s ban. In recent days, it has ordered an investigation of overcapacity and even forced labor on China to punish it with tariffs through the administrative means of section 301. “An error upon an error,” the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has described. Beijing has advanced that only mutual trust will allow substantial progress in bilateral cooperation.
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